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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312

December 27, 2011

IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE

Paul maintains his Iowa lead

Raleigh, N.C. ­ The last week and a half has brought little change in the standings for the Iowa Republican caucus: Ron Paul continues to lead Mitt Romney by a modest margin, 24-20. Newt Gingrich is in 3rd at 13% followed by Michele Bachmann at 11%, Rick Perry and Rick Santorum at 10%, Jon Huntsman at 4%, and Buddy Roemer at 2%. Paul's strength in Iowa continues to depend on a coalition of voters that's pretty unusual for a Republican in the state. Romney leads 22-20 with those who are actually Republicans, while Paul has a 39-12 advantage with the 24% who are either independents or Democrats. GOP caucus voters tend to skew old, and Romney has a 34-12 advantage with seniors. But Paul's candidacy looks like it's going to attract an unusual number of younger voters to the caucus this year, and with those under 45 he has a 35-11 advantage on Romney. Newt Gingrich just keeps on sliding. He's gone from 27% to 22% to 14% to 13% over the course of our four Iowa tracking polls. His favorability numbers are pretty abysmal now at 37/54. Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, and Rick Santorum continue to all be clustered right around 10%. Santorum actually has the best favorability numbers of any of the candidates at +27 (56/29). He's also the most frequent second choice of voters at 14%. Whether he can translate any of this into a top 3 finish remains to be seen, but he's someone who would seem to have the potential to grow his support in the final week. "If Ron Paul really manages to change the electorate by turning out large numbers of young people and independents he should win Iowa," said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. "If it's a more traditional turnout with an older electorate, Romney will probably win. And given his personal popularity it's worth keeping an eye on Santorum in the final week." PPP surveyed 565 likely Republican caucus voters on December 26th and 27th. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.1%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.

Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: [email protected]

Iowa Survey Results

Q1 Do you plan to vote in the Republican caucus or the Democratic caucus, or are you not sure? 100% Republican caucus..........................................

Democratic caucus ......................................... 0% Not sure .......................................................... 0%

Q4

Who would be your second choice for President?

Michele Bachmann ......................................... 12% Newt Gingrich ................................................. 12% Jon Huntsman................................................. 7% Ron Paul ......................................................... 9% Rick Perry ....................................................... 11% Buddy Roemer................................................ 1% Mitt Romney.................................................... 10% Rick Santorum ................................................ 14% Someone else/Not sure .................................. 25%

Q2

If the Republican candidates for President were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Buddy Roemer, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

Michele Bachmann ......................................... 11% Newt Gingrich ................................................. 13% Jon Huntsman................................................. 4% Ron Paul ......................................................... 24% Rick Perry ....................................................... 10% Buddy Roemer................................................ 2% Mitt Romney.................................................... 20% Rick Santorum ................................................ 10% Someone else/Not sure .................................. 5%

Q5

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Michele Bachmann?

Favorable........................................................ 53% Unfavorable .................................................... 37% Not sure .......................................................... 10%

Q6

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Newt Gingrich?

Favorable........................................................ 37% Unfavorable .................................................... 54% Not sure .......................................................... 9%

Q3

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

Strongly committed to that candidate.............. 72% Might end up supporting someone else .......... 28%

Q7

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jon Huntsman?

Favorable........................................................ 31% Unfavorable .................................................... 43% Not sure .......................................................... 26%

Q8

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ron Paul?

Favorable........................................................ 53% Unfavorable .................................................... 40% Not sure .......................................................... 7%

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters [email protected] / 888 621-6988

December 26-27, 2011

Q9

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Perry?

Favorable........................................................ 48% Unfavorable .................................................... 40% Not sure .......................................................... 12%

Q15 (Among Republican caucus goers:) Did you vote for Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson, John McCain, Ron Paul, Rudy Giuliani, or someone else in the 2008 caucus, or do you not remember?

Mike Huckabee ............................................... 36% Mitt Romney.................................................... 17% Fred Thompson .............................................. 13% John McCain................................................... 13% Ron Paul ......................................................... 8% Rudy Giuliani .................................................. 3% Someone else................................................. 3% Don't remember .............................................. 7%

Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney?

Favorable........................................................ 44% Unfavorable .................................................... 47% Not sure .......................................................... 9%

Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Santorum?

Favorable........................................................ 56% Unfavorable .................................................... 29% Not sure .......................................................... 15%

Q12 Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

Are .................................................................. 47% Are not ............................................................ 53%

Q16 Which of the following things is most important to you when deciding how to vote: jobs and the economy, government spending and reducing the debt, taxes, social issues like gay marriage and abortion, illegal immigration, or foreign policy and national security?

Jobs/economy................................................. 25% Government spending, reducing the debt ....... 39% Taxes .............................................................. 4% Social issues................................................... 12% Illegal immigration ........................................... 3% Foreign policy/national security....................... 3% Someone else................................................. 4% Not sure .......................................................... 10%

Q13 Do you regularly watch Fox News, or not?

Do ................................................................... 52% Do not ............................................................. 48%

Q14 In 2008 did you vote in the Democratic or Republican caucus, or did you not vote in a caucus?

Democratic caucus ......................................... 16% Republican caucus.......................................... 55% Didn't vote in a caucus.................................... 29%

Q17 What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate's ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?

A candidate's ability to beat Obama................ 30% Their issue positions ....................................... 58% Not sure .......................................................... 12%

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters [email protected] / 888 621-6988

December 26-27, 2011

Q18 Do you think that Newt Gingrich has strong principles, or not?

He does .......................................................... 32% He does not .................................................... 45% Not sure .......................................................... 23%

Q23 Have you seen any of the candidates speak in person, and if so, how many?

Have not seen any of the candidates in person............................................................. 54% Have seen only one candidate........................ 11% Have seen more than one candidate .............. 16% Not sure .......................................................... 19%

Q19 Do you think that Ron Paul has strong principles, or not?

He does .......................................................... 68% He does not .................................................... 14% Not sure .......................................................... 19%

Q24 When deciding who to vote for, how important is it to you that a candidate has spent a lot of time in Iowa: very important, somewhat important, or not important at all?

Very important................................................. 22% Somewhat important ....................................... 40% Not important at all.......................................... 19% Not sure .......................................................... 19%

Q20 Do you think that Mitt Romney has strong principles, or not?

He does .......................................................... 42% He does not .................................................... 37% Not sure .......................................................... 21%

Q21 Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

Michele Bachmann ......................................... 8% Newt Gingrich ................................................. 13% Jon Huntsman................................................. 4% Ron Paul ......................................................... 14% Rick Perry ....................................................... 8% Buddy Roemer................................................ 1% Mitt Romney.................................................... 25% Rick Santorum ................................................ 5% Someone else/Not sure .................................. 23%

Q25 Who do you think has run the strongest campaign in Iowa?

Michele Bachmann ......................................... 18% Newt Gingrich ................................................. 5% Jon Huntsman................................................. 1% Ron Paul ......................................................... 26% Rick Perry ....................................................... 7% Buddy Roemer................................................ 1% Mitt Romney.................................................... 5% Rick Santorum ................................................ 10% Someone else/Not sure .................................. 28%

Q22 How much attention have you paid to the televised debates between the candidates so far: a lot of attention, some attention, or not much attention at all?

A lot of attention .............................................. 36% Some attention................................................ 35% Not much attention at all ................................. 13% Not sure .......................................................... 17%

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters [email protected] / 888 621-6988

December 26-27, 2011

Q26 Who do you think is going to win the Iowa caucuses?

Michele Bachmann ......................................... 7% Newt Gingrich ................................................. 8% Jon Huntsman................................................. 1% Ron Paul ......................................................... 29% Rick Perry ....................................................... 4% Buddy Roemer................................................ 1% Mitt Romney.................................................... 15% Rick Santorum ................................................ 5% Someone else/Not sure .................................. 30%

Q29 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

Very liberal ...................................................... 4% Somewhat liberal ............................................ 5% Moderate......................................................... 21% Somewhat conservative.................................. 33% Very conservative ........................................... 37%

Q30 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.

Democrat ........................................................ 8% Republican...................................................... 76% Independent/Other .......................................... 16%

Q27 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Woman ........................................................... 47% Man................................................................. 53%

Q28 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.

18 to 29........................................................... 12% 30 to 45........................................................... 28% 46 to 65........................................................... 39% Older than 65 .................................................. 21%

Q31 Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

Yes.................................................................. 26% No ................................................................... 64% Not sure .......................................................... 10%

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters [email protected] / 888 621-6988

December 26-27, 2011

Crosstabs

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 14% 12% 5% 28% 9% 1% 21% 10%

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 21% 1% 31% 9% 3% 9% 27% 2% 23% 17% 41% 17% 11% 9% 27% 20% 29% 4% 5% 11% 13% 24% 2% 26% 18% 13% 22% 1% 20% 26% 17% 11% 79% 11% 6% 25% 13% 31% 17% 7% 25% 15% 2% 13% 13% 1% 32% 17% 6% 1% 36% 5% 0% 10% 2% 22% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

7% 17% 3% 21% 13% 4% 22% 14%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 21% Rick Santorum 11%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 20% 13% 2% 13% 10% 1% 19% 17% 5% 1% 14% 8% 42% 8% 3% 21% 2% 2% 3% 7% 3% 20% 14% 3% 23% 8% 18%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 7% 32% 1% 12% 7% 3% 21% 13% 5% 13% 1% 6% 34% 10% 2% 20% 9% 4% 17% 3% 16% 20% 14% 10% 19%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 12% 14% 13% 21% 5% 5% 21% 7% 1% 11% 14% 26% 10% 0% 19% 14% 5% 10% 8% 1% 26% 15% 1% 19% 9% 11%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 7% 8% 4% 45% 8% 2% 13% 9% 5% 13% 20% 4% 1% 11% 2% 31% 14% 4% 29% 10% 6% 2% 18% 11% 3% 21%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 10% 15% 2% 16% 20% 1% 21% 13% 3% 13% 9% 7% 36% 1% 4% 19% 7% 4% 9% 16% 3% 17% 1% 19% 11% 23%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 8% 14% 3% 12% 9% 0% 44% 5% 5% 14% 12% 4% 36% 10% 4% 1% 16% 3% 14% 8% 9% 23% 14% 2% 9% 21%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 13% 15% 2% 16% 8% 1% 23% 19% 3% 7% 9% 9% 38% 11% 4% 17% 5% 11% 12% 4% 27% 15% 2% 16% 14%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Evangelical? Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 15% 14% 1% 21% 12% 0% 16% 15% 6% 8% 11% 7% 27% 8% 4% 24% 7% 5% Are Are not

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Regularly Watch Fox? Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 15% 16% 2% 12% 10% 2% 27% 11% 6% 7% 9% 6% 38% 9% 2% 13% 10% 5% Do Do not

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

2008 Caucus Choice Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 10% 11% 9% 35% 6% 10% 16% 3% 1% 11% 13% 2% 21% 11% 1% 21% 14% 6% 12% 14% 5% 25% 10% 20% 9% 6% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 2% 13% 10% 2% 23% 12% 1% 14% 20% 5% 13% 13% 7% 6% 48% 5% 8% 11% 19% 4% 12% 22% 8% 23% 2% 8% 14% 4% 20% 10% 31% 4% 10% 10% 6% 74% 8% 3% 38% 15% 38% 9% 14% 14% 35% 9% 28% 7% 12% 11% 14% 20% 13% 22% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

Ron Paul 21% Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 21% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not sure 6%

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 5% 17% 9% 18% 12% 3% 28% 3% 4% 12% 11% 1% 30% 6% 2% 18% 15% 6% 19% 3% 28% 11% 36% 3% 23% 15% 20% 11% 1% 12% 12% 7% 20% 4% 4% 24% 8% 14% 22% 4% 17% 8% 31% 14% 5% 21% 5% 11% 12% 17% 20% 12% 16% 11% 14% 6% 3% 23% 15% 3% 24% 5% 8% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 14% 16% 2% 14% 11% 2% 31% 5% 4% 8% 11% 5% 30% 8% 2% 14% 15% 6% 17% 10% 4% 26% 13% 3% 18% 2% 7% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 10% 31% 2% 8% 10% 1% 22% 11% 4% 12% 4% 7% 35% 9% 3% 18% 9% 3% 12% 3% 2% 25% 11% 2% 20% 12% 11%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 9% 11% 5% 30% 9% 3% 19% 10% 4% 18% 28% 2% 6% 11% 19% 14% 3% 13% 7% 2% 17% 13% 2% 23% 10% 13%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 11% 14% 3% 15% 7% 2% 36% 5% 7% 14% 15% 6% 33% 9% 3% 3% 17% 2% 7% 7% 3% 28% 17% 2% 17% 9% 10%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 73% 10% 3% 6% 4% 2% 2% 4% 61% 7% 5% 3% 4% 15% 1% 8% 17% 46% 16% 4% 9% 1% 1% 1% 92% 2% 3% 2% 5% 15% 67% 7% 4% 12% 60% 27% 5% 6% 3% 12% 5% 60% 6% 3% 17% 6% 3% 74% 10% 6% 4% 24% 9% 2% 17% 11% 17% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 14% 19% 5% 22% 5% 1% 21% 11% 3% 10% 10% 4% 21% 14% 1% 20% 11% 9% 9% 8% 4% 39% 8% 6% 12% 11% 2% 10% 6% 3% 27% 13% 3% 24% 7% 7%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 10% 15% 5% 20% 10% 3% 21% 12% 5% 19% 14% 3% 27% 8% 13% 10% 6% 10% 13% 5% 31% 8% 1% 16% 11% 4% 11% 6% 2% 28% 13% 2% 24% 7% 7% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not at all sure Base im portant im portant 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 20% 12% 5% 20% 13% 3% 13% 13% 1% 10% 14% 2% 22% 7% 1% 23% 11% 8% 5% 17% 8% 29% 9% 3% 16% 10% 3% 9% 6% 2% 29% 13% 2% 25% 7% 7%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 35% 19% 3% 8% 8% 4% 13% 5% 4% 14% 49% 11% 8% 9% 3% 6% 27% 30% 30% 12% 5% 6% 6% 50% 6% 2% 16% 6% 2% 19% 4% 11% 51% 2% 14% 40% 14% 14% 32% 3% 11% 2% 15% 53% 8% 7% 8% 9% 4% 4% 39% 33% 3% 6% 8% 3% 26% 11% 2% 22% 11% 11% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 85% 2% 4% 2% 6% 2% 4% 76% 6% 7% 5% 2% 36% 64% 5% 7% 6% 56% 3% 4% 8% 8% 2% 7% 8% 3% 3% 75% 3% 24% 24% 53% 4% 4% 5% 8% 69% 7% 4% 16% 9% 6% 2% 3% 63% 7% 9% 3% 22% 13% 2% 21% 10% 13% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected]publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 11% 15% 3% 19% 9% 3% 22% 11% 7% 11% 11% 5% 29% 11% 2% 18% 10% 4% Man

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Age Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 11% 11% 5% 37% 8% 3% 8% 11% 8% 15% 9% 1% 34% 7% 5% 13% 9% 6% 11% 14% 6% 20% 10% 1% 21% 13% 5% 6% 16% 4% 12% 15% 1% 34% 8% 4% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 39% 18% 7% 17% 3% 10% 7% 10% 16% 16% 40% 3% 3% 3% 10% 12% 9% 10% 29% 6% 4% 23% 3% 4% 4% 15% 3% 21% 14% 2% 29% 6% 5% 13% 12% 24% 10% 0% 15% 20% 6%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 17% 23% 5% 24% 6% 6% 15% 4% 10% 13% 4% 20% 12% 1% 22% 11% 7% 13% 8% 5% 46% 4% 3% 11% 9% 2%

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

Tea Party ID Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele Bachm ann 11% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4% 24% 17% 21% 8% 2% 11% 15% 3% 8% 11% 6% 26% 10% 2% 24% 9% 5% 14% 3% 24% 15% 2% 18% 10% 15% Yes Not No sure

Ron Paul 24% Rick Perry 10% Buddy Roem er 2%

Mitt Rom ney 20% Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not sure 5%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 84% 16% 64% 36% 81% 19% 77% 23% 65% 35% 45% 55% 71% 29% 64% 36% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 3% 7% 4% 13% 5% 30% 38% 20% 5% 8% 20% 1% 19% 16% 12% 4% 28% 4% 22% 31% 6% 6% 15% 11% 7% 9% 0% 12% 7% 37% 11% 21% 22% 17% 17% 12% 16% 64% 7% 7% 6% 6% 24% 10% 11% 15% 22% 13% 32% 19% 3% 16% 18% 7% 6% 100% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 94% 3% 3% 56% 39% 5% 25% 68% 7% 29% 63% 8% 55% 30% 14% 23% 61% 16% 50% 38% 12% 87% 5% 8% 52% 14% 34% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 22% 64% 14% 94% 6% 11% 82% 7% 18% 76% 6% 25% 57% 18% 55% 45% 39% 54% 6% 45% 46% 9% 34% 36% 30% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 32% 45% 23% 35% 49% 16% 96% 4% 26% 46% 28% 17% 44% 39% 77% 7% 16% 33% 42% 25% 21% 56% 23% 8% 41% 51% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 35% 47% 18% 32% 63% 5% 49% 41% 10% 98% 1% 0% 43% 45% 12% 63% 37% 34% 62% 4% 45% 53% 2% 45% 29% 26% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 44% 46% 10% 58% 27% 15% 18% 72% 10% 32% 59% 8% 96% 3% 1% 16% 84% 50% 39% 11% 61% 26% 13% 24% 26% 50% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 30% 59% 11% 48% 46% 6% 33% 46% 20% 22% 70% 9% 40% 47% 13% 7% 93% 97% 2% 1% 21% 71% 8% 44% 22% 34% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 68% 17% 15% 66% 20% 14% 27% 59% 14% 38% 45% 17% 46% 31% 23% 23% 61% 16% 63% 25% 12% 100% 33% 27% 40% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 63% 37% 53% 47% 11% 89% 41% 59% 58% 42% 6% 94% 37% 63% 66% 34% 51% 49% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 70% 30% 64% 36% 26% 74% 25% 75% 55% 45% 45% 55% 69% 31% 53% 47% 53% 47% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 15% 55% 30% 14% 55% 31% 35% 31% 34% 23% 48% 29% 10% 61% 29% 77% 23% 13% 58% 28% 5% 72% 23% 3% 64% 34% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 42% 20% 13% 9% 7% 4% 4% 29% 17% 20% 15% 9% 3% 7% 37% 23% 21% 19% 39% 5% 7% 12% 27% 5% 4% 39% 10% 26% 12% 4% 9% 31% 69% 23% 39% 5% 19% 5% 1% 7% 51% 7% 22% 4% 2% 2% 6% 7% 31% 20% 3% 21% 24% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 11% 42% 33% 34% 55% 10% 18% 48% 31% 24% 39% 39% 35% 35% 8% 54% 16% 40% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

24% 5% -

6% 13% 1% 4%

4% 3% 6%

5% 9% 3% 4%

5% 13% 2% 4%

6% -

8% 7% 2% 1%

14% 6% 6%

2% 14% 2% 3%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

4% 13%

4% 5%

15% 7%

3% 10%

5% 16%

16%

12%

6% 5%

8% 15%

Not sure 10%

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 38% 44% 18% 39% 52% 9% 18% 72% 11% 17% 71% 12% 34% 50% 16% 23% 61% 16% 47% 42% 11% 14% 84% 2% 24% 60% 16% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 29% 47% 25% 78% 15% 6% 15% 72% 14% 11% 65% 24% 32% 42% 26% 16% 61% 23% 36% 40% 24% 35% 39% 26% 25% 27% 48% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 57% 21% 22% 60% 30% 10% 84% 6% 10% 83% 4% 13% 60% 15% 26% 84% 16% 66% 13% 21% 65% 18% 17% 47% 7% 46% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 42% 45% 13% 45% 44% 11% 33% 49% 17% 25% 50% 25% 30% 33% 37% 39% 45% 16% 76% 5% 19% 21% 60% 19% 51% 11% 38% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 51% 4% 3% 1% 1% 11% 7% 21% 6% 62% 5% 1% 4% 11% 10% 6% 42% 3% 21% 7% 21% 2% 4% 2% 51% 5% 0% 13% 22% 6% 1% 57% 12% 1% 22% 16% 16% 16% 28% 23% 1% 3% 1% 1% 74% 20% 1% 19% 6% 15% 34% 25% 3% 8% 5% 13% 71% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 45% 30% 10% 15% 55% 29% 8% 9% 44% 32% 14% 11% 32% 29% 20% 19% 17% 50% 10% 22% 16% 21% 39% 23% 37% 35% 8% 21% 38% 37% 13% 12% 17% 57% 5% 21% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 48% 63% 61% 45% 53% 70% 57% 60% 52% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

19% 15% 19%

12% 16% 9%

7% 21% 11%

12% 20% 22%

9% 13% 25%

7% 23%

7% 13% 23%

11% 17% 12%

12% 12% 24%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 40% 35% 10% 15% 21% 45% 25% 9% 27% 24% 39% 11% 18% 36% 23% 23% 28% 29% 17% 25% 29% 16% 32% 23% 14% 46% 16% 24% 27% 42% 18% 12% 5% 60% 12% 24% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 58% 6% 12% 1% 7% 15% 28% 17% 13% 10% 3% 4% 7% 19% 14% 6% 36% 7% 3% 3% 10% 21% 6% 2% 1% 53% 3% 0% 3% 2% 30% 15% 4% 15% 34% 32% 32% 32% 13% 23% 12% 2% 1% 21% 1% 13% 19% 32% 10% 1% 16% 9% 4% 31% 30% 14% 5% 2% 11% 6% 5% 57% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 55% 3% 14% 3% 7% 18% 1% 49% 3% 15% 3% 5% 4% 22% 14% 40% 4% 3% 13% 7% 20% 1% 68% 1% 0% 3% 0% 26% 5% 10% 33% 13% 39% 64% 13% 23% 1% 3% 12% 51% 1% 32% 4% 4% 21% 1% 10% 31% 29% 3% 3% 13% 10% 71% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 48% 52% 55% 45% 40% 60% 36% 64% 41% 59% 61% 39% 53% 47% 50% 50% 61% 39% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 11% 38% 38% 12% 10% 21% 43% 26% 15% 8% 54% 23% 18% 39% 32% 11% 10% 20% 39% 31% 15% 64% 14% 6% 5% 18% 41% 36% 12% 25% 47% 16% 17% 30% 35% 17% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 15% 4% 23% 13% 44% 6% 6% 15% 39% 34% 8% 18% 53% 21% 3% 8% 24% 29% 36% 1% 1% 13% 49% 36% 22% 39% 32% 7% 1% 24% 48% 27% 1% 6% 20% 73% 6% 9% 14% 30% 42% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Party Dem ocrat 8% 12% 69% 19% 15% 75% 10% 10% 70% 20% 8% 62% 30% 5% 89% 6% 22% 55% 23% 6% 85% 9% 3% 83% 14% 95% 5% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 56% 44% 35% 54% 11% 93% 7% 22% 68% 9% 21% 65% 14% 22% 71% 7% 14% 77% 9% 37% 54% 10% 16% 58% 26% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 100% 100% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 13% New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 12% 10% 8% 9% 12% 2% 8% 15% 26% 17% 20% 6% 11% 12% 15% 13% 7% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Rick Perry 12% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 21% sure

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 38% Not sure 9% 50% 41% 9% 61% 30% 9% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 55% Not sure 8% 33% 59% 7% 48% 44% 8% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 32% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 24% 34% 45% 22% 29% 40% 32% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Paul Favorability Favorable 54% Unfavorable 41% Not sure 6% 53% 41% 6% 55% 39% 6% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Perry Favorability Favorable 50% Unfavorable 41% Not sure 10% 45% 48% 7% 60% 22% 17% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 48% Not sure 8% 43% 50% 6% 46% 44% 11% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Santorum Favorability Favorable 57% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 14% 55% 33% 12% 63% 19% 18% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 47% 53% 48% 52% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 53% 47% 49% 51% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 17% Republican caucus 54% Didn't vote in a 28% caucus 18% 53% 29% 16% 58% 27% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 14% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 6% 33% 20% 14% 12% 12% 3% 2% 4% 42% 11% 12% 14% 1% 3% 6% 11% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 26% 40% 24% 36% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

3% 11% 4% 4%

7% 13% 1% 2%

Social issues 11% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

3%

3% 10%

6% 11%

Not sure 10%

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 11% 30% 58% 12% 31% 58% 10% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 46% Not sure 22% 30% 49% 21% 37% 38% 25% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 69% He does not 14% Not sure 17% 68% 14% 17% 70% 13% 17% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 41% He does not 38% Not sure 20% 40% 43% 18% 45% 27% 27% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 10% 11% 4% 17% 9% 1% 25% 6% 17% 4% 21% 3% 6% 9% 1% 27% 3% 27% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

New t Gingrich 14% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 9% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 26% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 20% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 37% Som e attention 33% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 40% 31% 13% 15% 29% 39% 12% 20% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 53% 58% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

12% 18% 18%

8% 12% 22%

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 23% Som ew hat 38% im portant Not im portant at all 20% Not sure 19% 25% 38% 20% 18% 18% 40% 21% 22% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 19% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 17% 5% 0% 30% 7% 1% 5% 11% 24% 22% 4% 2% 19% 7% 1% 4% 7% 34% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Ron Paul 27% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 27% sure

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 8% 8% 1% 9% 8% 0% 31% 5% 1% 17% 5% 24% 4% 9% 2% 28% 3% 12% 6% 35% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Ron Paul 30% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 5% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 27% sure

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Gender Wom an 46% Man 54% 44% 56% 53% 47% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 13% 28% 37% 22% 8% 28% 45% 19% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 4% 4% 4% 22% 32% 37% 6% 4% 19% 36% 36% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Party Dem ocrat 8% 9% 74% 17% 8% 77% 15% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

Republican 75% Independent/Other 17%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Base Tea Party ID Yes 27% No 65% Not sure 9% 28% 65% 7% 24% 63% 13% Strongly com m itted Might end up supporting to that candidate som eone else

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 64% 36% 54% 46% 77% 23% 65% 35% 71% 29% 100% 58% 42% 75% 25% 91% 9% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Ron Paul Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 90% 9% 1% 61% 26% 13% 23% 70% 7% 37% 39% 24% 61% 29% 11% 13% 74% 13% 39% 53% 8% 72% 26% 2% 39% 46% 14% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 42% 52% 6% 88% 7% 6% 34% 66% 23% 53% 25% 31% 67% 1% 24% 63% 13% 38% 57% 6% 29% 64% 7% 25% 62% 14% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 22% 57% 21% 26% 47% 27% 93% 7% 31% 36% 34% 22% 43% 35% 79% 21% 39% 36% 25% 26% 49% 25% 22% 50% 28% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 58% 41% 1% 46% 48% 6% 64% 36% 88% 7% 5% 46% 50% 4% 11% 63% 26% 56% 36% 8% 28% 66% 6% 57% 30% 13% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 62% 31% 7% 56% 34% 10% 18% 80% 2% 58% 27% 15% 88% 7% 6% 87% 13% 44% 40% 17% 52% 38% 10% 26% 55% 19% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 21% 75% 5% 57% 37% 6% 53% 45% 2% 42% 43% 15% 48% 44% 8% 11% 63% 26% 85% 6% 9% 47% 46% 7% 30% 57% 13% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 68% 24% 8% 66% 17% 17% 44% 49% 7% 43% 36% 21% 64% 21% 16% 74% 26% 44% 40% 16% 98% 2% 34% 41% 25% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 61% 39% 49% 51% 22% 78% 43% 57% 58% 42% 100% 37% 63% 50% 50% 46% 54% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 52% 48% 65% 35% 45% 55% 41% 59% 52% 48% 29% 71% 56% 44% 63% 37% 43% 57% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 14% 65% 21% 8% 68% 24% 40% 37% 23% 8% 56% 35% 17% 58% 25% 24% 26% 50% 28% 44% 28% 7% 60% 34% 19% 49% 31% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 53% 9% 16% 8% 4% 2% 2% 6% 33% 19% 8% 21% 1% 7% 4% 5% 34% 26% 23% 18% 31% 12% 18% 17% 7% 7% 7% 47% 14% 20% 10% 2% 2% 4% 100% 10% 18% 13% 26% 10% 6% 3% 14% 43% 24% 18% 5% 2% 3% 5% 26% 18% 6% 11% 22% 2% 3% 12% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 21% 40% 28% 44% 30% 38% 32% 29% 18% 41% 100% 33% 26% 20% 48% 20% 42% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

6% 14% 5% -

8% 7% 2% 1%

4% 7% 10%

2% 11% 1% 7%

6% 17% 6% 1%

-

3% 10% 2% 9%

2% 14% 1%

3% 11% 4% 2%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

5% 10%

1% 8%

2% 10%

8% 10%

1% 9%

-

5% 12%

4% 10%

4% 13%

Not sure 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 27% 66% 7% 43% 48% 8% 27% 63% 10% 21% 71% 8% 38% 51% 12% 13% 74% 13% 27% 54% 19% 29% 61% 10% 28% 56% 15% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 25% 53% 22% 62% 13% 25% 32% 52% 17% 22% 55% 23% 32% 56% 13% 24% 76% 36% 44% 19% 31% 42% 27% 24% 46% 30% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 66% 16% 18% 70% 13% 16% 77% 9% 15% 78% 7% 15% 74% 15% 10% 89% 11% 71% 8% 21% 60% 25% 15% 60% 11% 29% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 19% 60% 21% 53% 22% 25% 46% 37% 17% 39% 36% 25% 49% 36% 14% 24% 76% 64% 15% 21% 41% 40% 19% 37% 37% 26% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 5% 19% 1% 16% 6% 13% 15% 24% 1% 27% 1% 3% 11% 1% 37% 1% 17% 11% 4% 15% 18% 5% 26% 2% 20% 3% 8% 7% 1% 23% 28% 9% 21% 7% 12% 4% 9% 17% 23% 2% 26% 11% 42% 11% 37% 3% 15% 8% 7% 7% 38% 4% 18% 15% 12% 1% 9% 6% 2% 34% 6% 15% 12% 7% 0% 28% 4% 0% 16% 1% 31% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 38% 35% 11% 16% 31% 44% 7% 18% 42% 27% 11% 20% 20% 32% 34% 13% 39% 27% 15% 19% 53% 34% 13% 29% 37% 16% 18% 43% 37% 8% 12% 37% 34% 9% 20% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 59% 47% 60% 72% 45% 63% 49% 59% 49% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

5% 20% 16%

12% 21% 20%

7% 11% 22%

4% 8% 17%

14% 17% 24%

13% 11% 13%

16% 15% 20%

10% 19% 12%

13% 14% 23%

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 26% 37% 21% 16% 13% 48% 17% 21% 26% 35% 17% 22% 31% 33% 21% 16% 23% 31% 20% 26% 11% 37% 40% 13% 20% 39% 21% 20% 27% 46% 15% 12% 18% 41% 21% 21% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 27% 7% 1% 29% 2% 1% 9% 23% 9% 7% 21% 10% 5% 16% 32% 20% 2% 38% 2% 5% 5% 6% 22% 9% 3% 23% 13% 6% 13% 33% 26% 1% 1% 15% 11% 4% 9% 32% 13% 53% 21% 13% 22% 5% 3% 22% 12% 9% 3% 25% 24% 1% 1% 28% 5% 1% 1% 22% 17% 14% 7% 1% 29% 3% 0% 7% 4% 35% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 7% 11% 38% 2% 1% 3% 10% 28% 8% 11% 10% 32% 5% 34% 6% 6% 46% 5% 11% 2% 24% 1% 3% 3% 22% 12% 25% 11% 23% 9% 13% 3% 22% 3% 13% 3% 35% 11% 66% 11% 13% 5% 10% 2% 31% 4% 17% 4% 28% 15% 9% 24% 3% 1% 21% 8% 18% 9% 6% 0% 36% 2% 0% 8% 1% 37% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 38% 62% 46% 54% 37% 63% 56% 44% 67% 33% 40% 60% 45% 55% 44% 56% 46% 54% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 23% 19% 41% 17% 3% 28% 44% 26% 29% 35% 24% 12% 11% 30% 35% 24% 11% 24% 46% 19% 29% 39% 32% 7% 20% 52% 21% 2% 32% 39% 27% 15% 33% 33% 19% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 9% 5% 7% 27% 52% 3% 20% 40% 37% 2% 10% 38% 39% 11% 1% 2% 34% 27% 36% 6% 1% 8% 39% 46% 40% 37% 13% 11% 5% 6% 27% 45% 18% 13% 41% 46% 8% 7% 26% 23% 36% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Party Dem ocrat 8% 14% 83% 3% 1% 90% 8% 16% 65% 19% 9% 78% 13% 9% 77% 15% 87% 13% 11% 70% 20% 2% 80% 18% 8% 67% 25% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 36% 53% 11% 20% 69% 11% 14% 81% 5% 20% 63% 17% 32% 60% 7% 100% 18% 75% 7% 38% 58% 4% 24% 63% 13% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 68% 32% 77% 23% 72% 28%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 21% 14% 3% 6% 13% 0% 7% 18% 18% 3% 8% 13% 9% 9% 2% 14% 10% 32% 1% 15% 4% 21% 12% 1% 8% 2% 35%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Bachm ann Favorability Base Favorable Unfavorable Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 100% 100% 100% Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 49% 46% 5% 24% 73% 3% 25% 25% 50%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 30% 43% 27% 40% 48% 12% 6% 26% 69%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 48% 45% 7% 62% 37% 1% 48% 26% 26%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 63% 26% 10% 29% 66% 5% 36% 19% 45%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 45% 50% 5% 43% 51% 6% 43% 18% 39%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 77% 13% 10% 33% 56% 10% 25% 11% 64%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 60% 40% 27% 73% 53% 47%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 65% 35% 36% 64% 37% 63%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 10% 62% 28% 28% 41% 31% 8% 69% 22%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 42% 15% 18% 9% 3% 3% 4% 7% 28% 20% 6% 23% 15% 2% 5% 23% 20% 6% 10% 16% 8% 4% 13%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 20% 45% 33% 36% 23% 22%

4% 15% 3% 2%

5% 7% 3% 5%

4% 11% 6% 5%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

3% 10%

4% 8%

4% 24%

Not sure 10%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 35% 55% 10% 22% 67% 12% 31% 47% 21%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 41% 36% 23% 21% 64% 15% 22% 27% 52%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 69% 15% 17% 73% 15% 12% 44% 4% 52%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 44% 38% 17% 40% 41% 19% 36% 12% 52%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 13% 16% 2% 7% 9% 23% 8% 22% 2% 10% 7% 25% 6% 2% 28% 0% 19% 1% 8% 7% 13% 1% 21% 4% 44%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 41% 34% 10% 15% 32% 39% 14% 15% 21% 23% 20% 36%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 54% 56% 46%

11% 18% 17%

14% 14% 17%

3% 13% 38%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 25% 44% 15% 17% 19% 37% 28% 17% 20% 26% 14% 40%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 27% 4% 1% 18% 6% 1% 4% 14% 25% 9% 5% 1% 41% 8% 1% 6% 4% 23% 7% 2% 1% 12% 4% 5% 7% 62%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 13% 10% 23% 5% 0% 12% 8% 29% 0% 6% 2% 44% 3% 1% 19% 1% 23% 9% 12% 9% 13% 3% 55%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 51% 49% 39% 61% 56% 44%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 11% 25% 43% 22% 16% 32% 35% 17% 6% 29% 32% 33%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 5% 4% 11% 32% 48% 4% 7% 34% 34% 21% 3% 1% 25% 35% 35%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Party Dem ocrat 8% 7% 85% 8% 10% 63% 27% 4% 78% 18%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Bachm ann Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 38% 52% 10% 12% 84% 5% 13% 60% 27%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 63% 37% 77% 23% 71% 29%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 14% 28% 6% 5% 9% 1% 10% 11% 16% 12% 1% 8% 9% 14% 1% 10% 16% 29% 9% 8% 25% 2% 2% 6% 11% 39%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 70% 23% 7% 46% 50% 5% 30% 12% 58%

Gingrich Favorability Base Favorable Unfavorable Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 100% 100% 100% Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 33% 46% 21% 33% 45% 23% 10% 22% 67%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 50% 46% 4% 57% 39% 4% 44% 17% 39%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 61% 27% 11% 41% 53% 6% 38% 10% 51%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 52% 42% 6% 40% 55% 5% 36% 21% 42%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 71% 17% 12% 49% 41% 10% 34% 3% 63%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 52% 48% 44% 56% 48% 52%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 67% 33% 43% 57% 38% 62%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 13% 63% 24% 20% 48% 31% 11% 59% 30%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 31% 18% 16% 16% 4% 6% 5% 4% 43% 16% 9% 12% 11% 1% 7% 20% 18% 18% 9% 9% 2% 3% 20%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 27% 44% 24% 38% 19% 21%

5% 8% 1% 3%

4% 13% 4% 3%

5% 15% 5% 4%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

4% 8%

2% 11%

14% 18%

Not sure 10%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 39% 51% 10% 24% 64% 12% 30% 53% 17%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 68% 11% 21% 9% 72% 19% 17% 23% 60%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 69% 16% 15% 69% 14% 17% 54% 2% 44%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 49% 32% 18% 39% 42% 20% 31% 26% 43%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 7% 33% 2% 3% 6% 0% 26% 3% 20% 8% 1% 6% 23% 9% 2% 25% 5% 21% 8% 5% 13% 16% 10% 48%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 42% 35% 7% 15% 34% 35% 15% 16% 19% 33% 21% 27%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 55% 52% 59%

9% 19% 18%

14% 15% 19%

5% 6% 29%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 21% 43% 18% 17% 24% 37% 21% 19% 16% 37% 17% 29%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 20% 9% 21% 8% 1% 3% 11% 26% 19% 2% 2% 29% 7% 1% 6% 9% 25% 8% 1% 22% 2% 3% 11% 53%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 5% 21% 21% 4% 14% 4% 32% 10% 1% 2% 37% 5% 1% 16% 4% 25% 3% 20% 7% 13% 12% 45%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 48% 52% 46% 54% 51% 49%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 8% 27% 43% 22% 15% 27% 37% 20% 11% 34% 34% 22%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 5% 3% 15% 39% 39% 4% 5% 22% 31% 36% 4% 7% 37% 20% 33%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Party Dem ocrat 8% 7% 84% 9% 9% 70% 21% 5% 77% 18%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gingrich Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 33% 56% 10% 23% 70% 7% 14% 62% 24%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 75% 25% 74% 26% 63% 37%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 9% 10% 20% 9% 8% 3% 12% 12% 17% 16% 13% 7% 11% 1% 8% 15% 29% 10% 12% 2% 11% 15% 9% 13% 27%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 51% 47% 2% 54% 40% 6% 56% 18% 27%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 40% 57% 3% 40% 56% 5% 30% 47% 23%

Huntsm an Favorability Base Favorable Unfavorable Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 100% 100% 100% Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 59% 40% 1% 47% 50% 3% 57% 23% 20%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 50% 47% 3% 45% 47% 8% 51% 20% 29%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 54% 41% 5% 40% 58% 2% 40% 34% 26%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 63% 32% 6% 54% 40% 6% 52% 7% 42%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 34% 66% 54% 46% 52% 48%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 53% 47% 56% 44% 43% 57%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 25% 45% 29% 16% 62% 23% 7% 55% 38%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 27% 25% 12% 23% 6% 3% 2% 2% 38% 17% 14% 8% 9% 1% 4% 10% 40% 10% 12% 14% 8% 6% 3% 7%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 37% 36% 21% 42% 16% 38%

2% 8% 1% 4%

6% 12% 4% 4%

4% 16% 4% 1%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

5% 7%

1% 10%

6% 16%

Not sure 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 30% 58% 12% 31% 58% 11% 28% 59% 13%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 35% 48% 18% 33% 51% 15% 26% 31% 43%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 80% 9% 11% 64% 20% 16% 60% 8% 32%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 47% 38% 15% 40% 43% 17% 38% 25% 37%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 10% 11% 10% 11% 5% 2% 27% 3% 21% 8% 15% 1% 17% 9% 0% 25% 6% 19% 5% 12% 0% 11% 12% 0% 22% 5% 32%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 42% 31% 12% 15% 40% 34% 10% 16% 21% 41% 17% 20%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 58% 50% 55%

9% 16% 16%

13% 19% 18%

10% 12% 24%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 23% 37% 24% 16% 24% 39% 19% 18% 18% 43% 14% 24%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 21% 5% 1% 27% 7% 2% 5% 9% 22% 20% 6% 25% 6% 0% 4% 12% 25% 13% 1% 2% 26% 7% 5% 6% 40%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 8% 8% 2% 33% 5% 2% 15% 3% 24% 8% 9% 1% 28% 4% 16% 6% 28% 5% 6% 26% 4% 13% 6% 40%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 40% 60% 44% 56% 60% 40%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 14% 25% 39% 22% 12% 25% 43% 21% 10% 37% 32% 21%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 9% 6% 27% 35% 22% 3% 4% 16% 33% 44% 1% 3% 21% 31% 43%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Party Dem ocrat 8% 14% 69% 17% 5% 79% 17% 5% 80% 15%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Huntsm an Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 21% 72% 7% 34% 59% 7% 19% 64% 18%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 71% 29% 73% 27% 72% 28%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 13% 10% 8% 15% 10% 0% 10% 7% 27% 13% 14% 6% 1% 14% 2% 9% 22% 19% 2% 10% 7% 7% 4% 12% 12% 47%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 49% 42% 9% 60% 34% 7% 53% 8% 39%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 35% 58% 7% 43% 53% 4% 22% 29% 49%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 34% 38% 28% 31% 54% 15% 6% 17% 77%

Paul Favorability Base Favorable Unfavorable Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 100% 100% 100% Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 49% 40% 11% 48% 45% 7% 39% 11% 51%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 41% 53% 7% 51% 44% 5% 30% 18% 52%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 49% 35% 16% 69% 25% 6% 28% 8% 64%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 46% 54% 47% 53% 62% 38%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 40% 60% 68% 32% 50% 50%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 20% 54% 26% 14% 55% 31% 2% 62% 36%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 37% 13% 11% 15% 14% 1% 4% 5% 35% 23% 16% 10% 1% 5% 2% 7% 28% 12% 17% 15% 6% 3% 19%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 23% 43% 28% 38% 23% 14%

5% 9% 2% 3%

4% 11% 4% 4%

2% 31% 7% -

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

5% 10%

2% 10%

3% 20%

Not sure 10%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 23% 66% 11% 39% 49% 11% 28% 53% 20%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 27% 51% 22% 40% 39% 21% 22% 33% 45%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 82% 5% 13% 52% 27% 20% 45% 2% 54%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 38% 40% 22% 49% 34% 17% 34% 26% 40%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 7% 9% 4% 24% 9% 0% 22% 2% 23% 8% 19% 4% 2% 7% 2% 32% 8% 18% 13% 10% 3% 12% 6% 7% 50%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 33% 32% 17% 17% 43% 37% 7% 13% 18% 38% 9% 35%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 54% 53% 55%

9% 16% 21%

14% 18% 14%

8% 4% 33%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 22% 39% 18% 21% 22% 40% 23% 15% 24% 37% 6% 33%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 15% 3% 1% 37% 6% 1% 3% 5% 30% 24% 6% 1% 15% 8% 1% 7% 17% 22% 13% 3% 9% 8% 6% 7% 55%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 5% 4% 1% 45% 4% 0% 9% 3% 29% 10% 14% 1% 12% 4% 1% 24% 7% 26% 11% 6% 8% 10% 7% 7% 51%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 44% 56% 50% 50% 57% 43%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 17% 33% 34% 16% 6% 21% 46% 26% 5% 24% 37% 35%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 5% 5% 26% 29% 35% 4% 3% 13% 40% 40% 5% 7% 23% 31% 34%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Party Dem ocrat 8% 10% 71% 19% 6% 82% 12% 2% 81% 16%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Paul Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 24% 67% 9% 29% 62% 9% 21% 59% 20%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 65% 35% 85% 15% 49% 51%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 16% 14% 3% 11% 20% 9% 15% 13% 9% 10% 13% 6% 2% 2% 10% 13% 34% 7% 10% 1% 11% 5% 1% 13% 11% 40%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 70% 22% 8% 35% 60% 5% 46% 16% 38%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 47% 46% 7% 26% 72% 2% 36% 27% 38%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 32% 40% 27% 36% 51% 13% 9% 27% 64%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 54% 40% 5% 53% 45% 2% 48% 23% 29%

Perry Favorability Base Favorable Unfavorable Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 100% 100% 100% Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 51% 43% 6% 38% 58% 4% 36% 26% 38%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 74% 15% 10% 39% 52% 9% 38% 6% 56%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 58% 42% 35% 65% 45% 55%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 61% 39% 42% 58% 46% 54%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 12% 60% 28% 25% 47% 28% 6% 59% 35%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 38% 12% 19% 13% 2% 4% 4% 7% 33% 21% 7% 15% 17% 2% 1% 5% 35% 27% 8% 8% 6% 4% 12%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 24% 39% 26% 41% 26% 31%

3% 13% 3% 2%

5% 10% 3% 5%

6% 12% 3% -

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

3% 12%

2% 8%

10% 11%

Not sure 10%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 34% 53% 13% 25% 65% 10% 32% 55% 12%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 41% 37% 22% 23% 58% 20% 28% 34% 38%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 70% 14% 16% 68% 14% 18% 58% 13% 30%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 46% 35% 19% 38% 44% 18% 39% 18% 43%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 6% 15% 2% 6% 17% 0% 25% 6% 22% 10% 7% 6% 25% 2% 27% 4% 19% 6% 22% 4% 8% 1% 16% 2% 41%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 36% 37% 11% 16% 38% 31% 14% 17% 27% 37% 14% 21%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 57% 49% 59%

8% 17% 18%

14% 18% 19%

11% 8% 22%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 25% 41% 16% 18% 22% 37% 23% 19% 9% 43% 25% 23%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 21% 5% 1% 20% 12% 1% 4% 10% 27% 16% 5% 1% 35% 2% 1% 6% 11% 24% 14% 1% 3% 20% 3% 7% 4% 48%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 8% 12% 0% 24% 8% 0% 14% 5% 29% 8% 5% 1% 39% 1% 1% 16% 5% 24% 2% 4% 3% 19% 1% 14% 5% 51%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 49% 51% 40% 60% 64% 36%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 9% 24% 43% 25% 17% 30% 37% 16% 11% 36% 31% 23%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 4% 3% 12% 36% 45% 4% 7% 29% 33% 27% 8% 4% 29% 22% 37%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Party Dem ocrat 8% 7% 82% 11% 9% 69% 22% 7% 76% 17%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Perry Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 34% 57% 9% 19% 75% 6% 17% 58% 25%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 70% 30% 74% 26% 60% 40%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 6% 15% 8% 8% 12% 0% 19% 14% 17% 20% 9% 6% 8% 11% 2% 1% 13% 30% 6% 8% 1% 14% 10% 3% 9% 11% 37%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 54% 36% 10% 57% 39% 4% 32% 24% 43%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 44% 49% 7% 33% 63% 4% 26% 32% 41%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 38% 39% 23% 27% 54% 19% 17% 9% 74%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 49% 46% 5% 60% 38% 3% 40% 20% 39%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 55% 35% 10% 44% 49% 7% 32% 18% 50%

Rom ney Favorability Base Favorable Unfavorable Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 100% 100% 100% Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 62% 26% 13% 54% 36% 10% 36% 6% 58%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 42% 58% 51% 49% 52% 48%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 61% 39% 44% 56% 43% 57%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 17% 55% 28% 19% 53% 29% 3% 64% 33%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 24% 31% 8% 20% 3% 5% 2% 7% 48% 5% 17% 7% 12% 0% 5% 5% 33% 10% 17% 11% 10% 2% 3% 14%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 32% 40% 18% 42% 22% 16%

4% 7% 3% 2%

5% 14% 3% 3%

5% 22% 4% 7%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

2% 9%

4% 11%

9% 15%

Not sure 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 43% 47% 11% 20% 69% 11% 21% 60% 19%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 38% 39% 22% 29% 52% 19% 15% 34% 51%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 71% 11% 17% 69% 17% 14% 43% 9% 47%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 70% 13% 16% 18% 63% 18% 26% 12% 62%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 6% 11% 3% 5% 7% 1% 48% 2% 17% 10% 15% 5% 23% 10% 1% 7% 7% 21% 5% 13% 1% 6% 7% 5% 4% 60%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 38% 37% 10% 15% 38% 31% 16% 15% 10% 42% 11% 37%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 56% 54% 44%

11% 15% 18%

11% 18% 17%

7% 12% 37%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 20% 44% 18% 18% 26% 35% 23% 16% 13% 40% 9% 38%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 21% 4% 2% 22% 6% 1% 8% 11% 26% 18% 6% 1% 30% 7% 1% 2% 9% 26% 9% 1% 23% 7% 2% 5% 54%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 7% 8% 1% 22% 3% 0% 30% 2% 27% 8% 8% 1% 40% 5% 1% 3% 8% 26% 5% 6% 13% 5% 3% 5% 64%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 49% 51% 44% 56% 57% 43%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 11% 18% 43% 28% 12% 38% 37% 13% 18% 26% 29% 28%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 4% 6% 24% 41% 25% 5% 4% 17% 28% 47% 7% 3% 28% 24% 39%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Party Dem ocrat 8% 9% 77% 14% 8% 75% 17% 2% 76% 23%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Rom ney Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 21% 71% 8% 33% 58% 9% 14% 65% 21%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 69% 31% 81% 19% 64% 36%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 15% 14% 5% 7% 13% 8% 24% 15% 10% 7% 11% 11% 8% 3% 13% 36% 6% 13% 3% 12% 11% 2% 10% 2% 41%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 74% 22% 5% 25% 72% 4% 33% 24% 43%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 47% 48% 5% 23% 76% 1% 29% 35% 36%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 34% 42% 24% 34% 60% 6% 11% 18% 71%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 47% 50% 3% 64% 34% 2% 56% 16% 29%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 64% 28% 8% 26% 72% 2% 33% 23% 44%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 49% 46% 6% 39% 59% 2% 36% 30% 34%

Santorum Favorability Base Favorable Unfavorable Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 100% 100% 100% Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 55% 45% 34% 66% 44% 56%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 61% 39% 41% 59% 36% 64%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 10% 61% 29% 34% 40% 26% 8% 60% 32%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 41% 17% 16% 12% 2% 3% 4% 7% 31% 15% 9% 16% 22% 8% 24% 22% 10% 16% 12% 5% 4% 8%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 21% 45% 32% 34% 26% 29%

4% 12% 2% 3%

4% 9% 4% 5%

6% 15% 6% 1%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

3% 11%

3% 9%

8% 10%

Not sure 10%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 33% 56% 11% 23% 64% 13% 32% 56% 12%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 39% 38% 23% 21% 62% 18% 27% 38% 35%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 68% 17% 15% 72% 11% 17% 60% 6% 35%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 46% 37% 17% 35% 44% 21% 41% 22% 37%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 9% 15% 1% 8% 8% 1% 29% 8% 20% 7% 8% 8% 24% 9% 2% 21% 23% 6% 13% 5% 14% 11% 16% 2% 33%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 41% 36% 10% 13% 36% 30% 13% 22% 15% 39% 21% 24%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 55% 52% 51%

11% 18% 15%

11% 14% 23%

10% 12% 28%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 25% 42% 17% 15% 18% 36% 23% 23% 16% 37% 21% 27%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 22% 4% 1% 23% 7% 1% 4% 16% 23% 12% 7% 1% 34% 9% 1% 6% 2% 27% 19% 3% 1% 20% 2% 4% 2% 49%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 10% 10% 26% 3% 0% 15% 8% 27% 5% 5% 2% 38% 7% 1% 16% 27% 4% 5% 2% 25% 5% 12% 2% 45%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 48% 52% 39% 61% 60% 40%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 9% 26% 43% 22% 20% 26% 35% 19% 8% 39% 31% 22%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 3% 3% 13% 34% 48% 8% 7% 30% 34% 21% 4% 7% 34% 29% 26%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Party Dem ocrat 8% 6% 82% 12% 12% 64% 24% 8% 76% 17%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Santorum Favorability Not Base Favorable Unfavorable sure Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 34% 57% 9% 18% 77% 5% 14% 66% 20%

Evangelical? Base Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 71% 29% 72% 28% Are Are not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Evangelical? Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 16% 12% 3% 8% 14% 8% 14% 25% 9% 11% 10% 9% 9% 2% 11% 13% 25% Are Are not

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Evangelical? Base Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 68% 21% 12% 41% 51% 9% Are Are not

Evangelical? Base Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 41% 50% 9% 34% 58% 9% Are Are not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Evangelical? Base Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 22% 49% 28% 39% 38% 24% Are Are not

Evangelical? Base Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 51% 40% 9% 55% 40% 5% Are Are not

Evangelical? Base Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 59% 30% 11% 38% 49% 12% Are Are not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Evangelical? Base Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 39% 51% 10% 48% 43% 8% Are Are not

Evangelical? Base Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 65% 21% 14% 48% 36% 16% Are Are not

Evangelical? Base Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 100% 100% Are Are not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Evangelical? Base Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 60% 40% 44% 56% Are Are not

Evangelical? Base 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 12% 65% 23% 21% 46% 34% Are Are not

Evangelical? Base 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 46% 12% 14% 9% 6% 1% 4% 8% 22% 24% 12% 19% 10% 5% 2% 6% Are Are not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Evangelical? Base Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 21% 38% 28% 40% Are Are not

3% 17% 3% 3%

5% 7% 3% 3%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

2% 11%

5% 10%

Not sure 10%

Evangelical? Base More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 30% 60% 10% 30% 57% 13% Are Are not

Evangelical? Base Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 40% 38% 23% 25% 51% 24% Are Are not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Evangelical? Base Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 66% 16% 18% 69% 11% 19% Are Are not

Evangelical? Base Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 39% 42% 19% 45% 32% 23% Are Are not

Evangelical? Base Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 10% 16% 2% 14% 10% 1% 19% 7% 22% 6% 10% 6% 13% 7% 1% 31% 3% 23% Are Are not

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Evangelical? Base Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 38% 33% 13% 15% 34% 36% 12% 19% Are Are not

Evangelical? Base Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 53% 55% Are Are not

9% 20% 18%

12% 12% 21%

Evangelical? Base Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 25% 41% 16% 17% 19% 38% 22% 21% Are Are not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Evangelical? Base Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 23% 5% 1% 22% 6% 1% 4% 9% 29% 15% 4% 1% 29% 7% 1% 6% 10% 27% Are Are not

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Evangelical? Base Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 11% 10% 24% 5% 1% 12% 7% 30% 4% 7% 2% 34% 4% 1% 17% 3% 29% Are Are not

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Evangelical? Base Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 52% 48% 43% 57% Are Are not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Evangelical? Base Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 13% 26% 40% 22% 11% 30% 38% 21% Are Are not

Evangelical? Base Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 7% 4% 11% 27% 52% 3% 5% 30% 39% 23% Are Are not

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Evangelical? Base Party Dem ocrat 8% 7% 82% 11% 9% 71% 21% Are Are not

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Evangelical? Base Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 37% 51% 12% 17% 76% 7% Are Are not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 73% 27% 70% 30% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 12% 15% 6% 7% 11% 1% 11% 17% 21% 12% 8% 8% 11% 11% 2% 9% 10% 29% Do Do not

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 67% 25% 7% 38% 49% 13% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 49% 45% 6% 25% 64% 11% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 32% 47% 22% 30% 39% 31% Do Do not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 41% 52% 7% 66% 27% 7% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 57% 32% 11% 38% 48% 13% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 52% 40% 7% 35% 54% 11% Do Do not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 66% 23% 11% 45% 35% 20% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 55% 45% 39% 61% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 100% 100% Do Do not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Regularly Watch Fox? Base 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 13% 59% 28% 21% 51% 29% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 37% 22% 15% 10% 4% 3% 3% 6% 35% 10% 11% 17% 12% 2% 4% 9% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 23% 42% 26% 36% Do Do not

4% 12% 3% 2%

4% 11% 3% 4%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

4% 9%

3% 13%

Not sure 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Regularly Watch Fox? Base More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 40% 50% 10% 19% 67% 13% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 43% 36% 21% 20% 55% 25% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 66% 17% 17% 69% 10% 21% Do Do not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 50% 32% 18% 33% 42% 25% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 10% 17% 2% 7% 8% 1% 30% 6% 20% 5% 8% 6% 21% 9% 1% 20% 4% 26% Do Do not

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 44% 35% 6% 14% 27% 34% 19% 20% Do Do not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 56% 52% Do Do not

10% 18% 16%

12% 14% 22%

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 23% 43% 18% 16% 21% 36% 21% 22% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 24% 5% 1% 21% 7% 0% 6% 13% 23% 12% 4% 1% 31% 7% 1% 4% 6% 34% Do Do not

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 10% 11% 22% 6% 0% 19% 6% 26% 5% 5% 2% 37% 3% 1% 11% 4% 33% Do Do not

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 49% 51% 45% 55% Do Do not

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 10% 21% 42% 26% 14% 35% 35% 15% Do Do not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 4% 4% 12% 38% 43% 4% 6% 31% 28% 31% Do Do not

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Party Dem ocrat 8% 6% 84% 10% 9% 68% 23% Do Do not

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Regularly Watch Fox? Base Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 38% 52% 10% 13% 77% 10% Do Do not

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 Caucus Choice Base Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 74% 26% 70% 30% 73% 27% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 10% 6% 16% 4% 11% 2% 16% 5% 29% 15% 15% 5% 9% 12% 1% 8% 15% 22% 9% 10% 5% 11% 10% 2% 10% 16% 27% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

2008 Caucus Choice Base Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 32% 63% 5% 60% 27% 13% 53% 39% 8% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 Caucus Choice Base Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 29% 66% 6% 43% 48% 9% 31% 59% 9% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 48% 41% 11% 25% 49% 26% 32% 34% 34% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 65% 35% 1% 52% 40% 8% 49% 43% 9% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 Caucus Choice Base Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 35% 60% 4% 53% 34% 13% 47% 39% 15% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 45% 53% 2% 44% 45% 10% 43% 47% 10% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 33% 60% 7% 62% 21% 17% 57% 26% 17% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 Caucus Choice Base Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 34% 66% 56% 44% 38% 62% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 40% 60% 55% 45% 51% 49% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 100% 100% 100% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 Caucus Choice Base 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 36% 17% 13% 13% 8% 3% 3% 7% Republican caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 46% 27% 22% 41% 18% 43% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

3% 7% 3% 3%

4% 14% 3% 4%

5% 9% 2% 2%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

4% 8%

4% 8%

2% 18%

Not sure 10%

2008 Caucus Choice Base More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 25% 65% 11% 35% 57% 8% 24% 57% 19% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 Caucus Choice Base Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 32% 56% 12% 35% 44% 21% 26% 40% 35% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 76% 15% 9% 69% 14% 17% 61% 12% 28% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 46% 41% 13% 43% 38% 19% 38% 31% 31% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 inf[email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 Caucus Choice Base Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 15% 7% 8% 14% 8% 4% 24% 2% 18% 7% 15% 2% 12% 9% 0% 26% 6% 22% 5% 13% 4% 17% 7% 1% 22% 5% 27% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

2008 Caucus Choice Base Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 39% 28% 19% 14% 37% 36% 12% 15% 32% 37% 9% 22% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 56% 54% 52% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

12% 13% 20%

10% 19% 17%

12% 12% 24%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 Caucus Choice Base Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 24% 34% 20% 21% 21% 42% 20% 17% 22% 38% 18% 22% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 22% 6% 25% 6% 4% 6% 5% 25% 19% 3% 1% 27% 7% 3% 10% 28% 15% 5% 1% 24% 6% 0% 7% 11% 31% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

2008 Caucus Choice Base Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 9% 4% 2% 40% 4% 2% 9% 5% 26% 8% 8% 27% 5% 0% 18% 5% 29% 5% 11% 2% 29% 4% 12% 5% 33% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 Caucus Choice Base Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 42% 58% 46% 54% 53% 47% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 19% 32% 37% 12% 10% 28% 40% 23% 12% 26% 38% 23% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 Caucus Choice Base Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 18% 6% 42% 28% 6% 2% 3% 13% 35% 47% 2% 7% 23% 33% 36% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 Caucus Choice Base Party Dem ocrat 8% 36% 37% 28% 3% 87% 10% 2% 77% 21% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

2008 Caucus Choice Base Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 17% 79% 5% 33% 57% 10% 18% 71% 11% Dem ocratic Republican Didn't vote caucus caucus in a caucus

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 70% to that candidate Might end up 30% supporting som eone else 65% 35% 81% 19% 73% 27% 66% 34% 97% 3% 70% 30% 47% 53% 46% 54% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 15% New t Gingrich 15% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 5% 9% 22% 14% 4% 8% 16% 2% 18% 16% 8% 16% 7% 6% 10% 8% 21% 24% 18% 9% 13% 18% 4% 8% 20% 10% 9% 24% 8% 12% 9% 15% 6% 18% 8% 3% 10% 8% 10% 61% 9% 38% 9% 17% 9% 17% 9% 19% 19% 7% 7% 14% 24% 12% 10% 9% 7% 15% 11% 36% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

Rick Perry 12% Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 1% 8%

Rick Santorum 15% Som eone else/Not 22% sure

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 60% Unfavorable 27% Not sure 13% 70% 21% 8% 53% 32% 15% 82% 12% 6% 42% 48% 9% 21% 53% 26% 62% 38% 69% 16% 16% 56% 20% 24% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Gingrich Favorability Favorable 43% Unfavorable 48% Not sure 9% 37% 57% 5% 45% 45% 10% 52% 34% 13% 51% 42% 6% 21% 68% 10% 92% 8% 69% 23% 9% 27% 46% 27% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 25% Unfavorable 49% Not sure 26% 19% 51% 29% 37% 48% 15% 24% 52% 24% 44% 29% 27% 19% 55% 26% 26% 19% 55% 14% 63% 23% 7% 66% 27% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Paul Favorability Favorable 52% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 8% 54% 40% 6% 40% 55% 5% 42% 48% 10% 60% 32% 9% 94% 6% 17% 66% 17% 62% 31% 7% 39% 40% 21% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Perry Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 34% Not sure 13% 56% 31% 13% 38% 41% 20% 74% 18% 8% 54% 39% 7% 16% 74% 10% 79% 21% 69% 16% 16% 53% 26% 21% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 45% Not sure 10% 30% 60% 10% 79% 14% 6% 28% 59% 14% 68% 23% 9% 15% 72% 13% 85% 8% 8% 23% 69% 9% 45% 34% 21% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Santorum Favorability Favorable 62% Unfavorable 21% Not sure 17% 71% 18% 11% 61% 18% 21% 74% 14% 13% 55% 25% 20% 15% 59% 26% 71% 29% 77% 23% 59% 23% 18% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Evangelical? Are 56% Are not 44% 72% 28% 38% 62% 59% 41% 36% 64% 45% 55% 26% 74% 77% 23% 61% 39% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Regularly Watch Fox? Do 55% Do not 45% 57% 43% 73% 27% 63% 37% 44% 56% 30% 70% 62% 38% 45% 55% 43% 57% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Base 2008 Caucus Choice Republican caucus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Mike Mitt Fred John Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 22% Governm ent 41% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 21% 38% 31% 40% 19% 55% 17% 43% 17% 43% 30% 55% 35% 27% 19% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

4% 25% 2% 2%

5% 5% 5% 5%

8% 6% 4%

10% 10% 2% 8%

6% 8% 8% -

-

14% 9% 26%

15% -

Social issues 14% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else Not sure 3% 4%

4% 8%

5% 3%

5% 4%

6% 2%

2% 8%

3% 15%

8% 8%

9% 7%

39%

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 35% to beat Obam a Their issue 57% positions Not sure 8% 32% 65% 3% 47% 46% 7% 37% 57% 6% 37% 53% 10% 19% 70% 11% 47% 45% 8% 16% 84% 30% 27% 42% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 35% He does not 44% Not sure 21% 34% 48% 18% 34% 57% 8% 48% 38% 15% 43% 31% 26% 10% 67% 23% 62% 38% 60% 40% 14% 22% 63% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 69% He does not 14% Not sure 17% 72% 14% 14% 66% 22% 12% 73% 17% 10% 76% 9% 15% 69% 8% 23% 64% 8% 29% 76% 24% 36% 4% 60% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 43% He does not 38% Not sure 19% 35% 51% 14% 73% 19% 7% 30% 56% 14% 52% 19% 29% 17% 57% 26% 55% 8% 38% 49% 51% 35% 8% 57% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 7% 10% 13% 3% 12% 9% 22% 8% 23% 4% 16% 3% 8% 55% 13% 9% 17% 4% 6% 16% 14% 18% 16% 6% 11% 4% 14% 13% 2% 33% 2% 17% 3% 3% 3% 49% 17% 26% 47% 8% 17% 29% 14% 46% 9% 7% 16% 9% 7% 12% 3% 3% 10% 65% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

New t Gingrich 15% Jon Huntsm an 2%

Ron Paul 12% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 9% 0%

Mitt Rom ney 26% Rick Santorum 6%

Som eone else/Not 22% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 37% Som e attention 36% Not m uch attention 12% at all Not sure 15% 41% 34% 13% 12% 36% 44% 9% 11% 33% 46% 13% 8% 29% 43% 14% 15% 45% 15% 17% 23% 26% 38% 8% 29% 51% 42% 7% 26% 14% 13% 48% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 10% candidate Have seen m ore 19% than one candidate Not sure 17% 58% 52% 67% 68% 23% 45% 42% 31% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

9% 20% 13%

11% 25% 12%

12% 9% 12%

2% 15% 15%

29% 25% 23%

26% 29%

16% 35% 7%

4% 14% 51%

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 21% Som ew hat 42% im portant Not im portant at all 20% Not sure 17% 29% 42% 15% 14% 16% 53% 16% 14% 16% 43% 30% 12% 16% 42% 28% 15% 16% 27% 34% 23% 19% 36% 17% 29% 26% 42% 31% 18% 30% 4% 48% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 19% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 3% 1% 21% 2% 2% 29% 6% 15% 25% 22% 5% 16% 6% 14% 8% 28% 25% 4% 2% 28% 8% 14% 20% 19% 4% 3% 26% 12% 2% 6% 29% 6% 60% 8% 3% 23% 19% 9% 9% 17% 8% 38% 21% 35% 9% 7% 28% 7% 8% 9% 3% 11% 61% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

Ron Paul 27% Rick Perry Mitt Rom ney 7% 3%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich 8% 8% 11% 5% 26% 5% 1% 16% 8% 29% 8% 8% 18% 4% 43% 2% 19% 4% 19% 27% 6% 4% 10% 31% 8% 4% 21% 9% 30% 29% 3% 69% 3% 26% 9% 38% 8% 8% 9% 29% 14% 7% 53% 7% 19% 4% 8% 13% 6% 69% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

Ron Paul 27% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 5% 0%

Mitt Rom ney 18% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 29% sure

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Gender Wom an 46% Man 54% 51% 49% 47% 53% 39% 61% 46% 54% 25% 75% 55% 45% 53% 47% 44% 56% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Age 18 to 29 10% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 40% Older than 65 23% 15% 29% 41% 16% 13% 28% 28% 30% 14% 72% 15% 4% 27% 41% 28% 7% 54% 17% 22% 21% 56% 23% 39% 26% 35% 16% 17% 30% 37% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 2% 3% 2% 2% 10% 25% 60% 3% 3% 17% 44% 33% 17% 24% 59% 8% 15% 55% 22% 3% 21% 38% 38% 66% 34% 9% 14% 77% 8% 3% 15% 36% 38% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

Moderate 13% Som ew hat 35% conservative Very conservative 47%

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Party Dem ocrat 3% 2% 91% 7% 6% 87% 7% 5% 85% 10% 2% 91% 8% 68% 32% 91% 9% 86% 14% 88% 12% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

Republican 87% Independent/Other 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Mitt Fred John Base Huckabee Rom ney Thom pson McCain Tea Party ID Yes 33% No 57% Not sure 10% 43% 48% 9% 29% 61% 11% 37% 51% 12% 11% 84% 5% 43% 46% 10% 26% 64% 9% 14% 70% 16% 26% 52% 22% Ron Rudy Som eone Don't Paul Giuliani else rem em ber

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 73% 27% 74% 26% 57% 43% 67% 33% 91% 9% 80% 20% 52% 48% 70% 30% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 10% 14% 8% 11% 8% 5% 13% 11% 20% 13% 13% 6% 6% 12% 6% 17% 26% 17% 22% 6% 3% 15% 8% 8% 20% 15% 7% 4% 8% 17% 9% 17% 23% 20% 9% 4% 24% 8% 36% 5% 21% 21% 5% 26% 5% 19% 16% 4% 3% 20% 4% 12% 13% 27% 12% 9% 6% 8% 9% 11% 13% 32% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 42% 48% 9% 61% 33% 6% 44% 46% 10% 68% 22% 10% 47% 32% 21% 32% 53% 15% 50% 38% 12% 49% 28% 24% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 41% 52% 7% 42% 53% 5% 41% 49% 10% 27% 62% 12% 13% 72% 15% 37% 53% 10% 36% 32% 32% 27% 58% 15% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 47% 37% 17% 28% 47% 25% 16% 63% 21% 20% 44% 35% 9% 54% 37% 37% 52% 10% 42% 15% 43% 22% 39% 39% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 49% 45% 6% 59% 38% 2% 58% 39% 3% 44% 38% 18% 32% 53% 15% 50% 50% 74% 19% 6% 50% 37% 13% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 46% 42% 13% 48% 42% 10% 36% 46% 18% 55% 33% 12% 48% 39% 13% 38% 62% 44% 24% 32% 56% 31% 13% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 57% 35% 8% 45% 51% 4% 40% 50% 10% 26% 57% 17% 46% 41% 13% 35% 46% 19% 29% 49% 22% 39% 49% 13% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 47% 37% 16% 64% 25% 11% 49% 30% 21% 58% 22% 19% 32% 35% 33% 51% 45% 5% 46% 21% 33% 59% 26% 15% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 41% 59% 46% 54% 38% 62% 69% 31% 54% 46% 48% 52% 31% 69% 49% 51% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 49% 51% 56% 44% 54% 46% 52% 48% 54% 46% 41% 59% 60% 40% 42% 58% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 30% 48% 21% 11% 57% 32% 11% 54% 35% 11% 67% 22% 16% 60% 24% 15% 70% 15% 17% 64% 19% 12% 39% 48% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 35% 25% 11% 10% 6% 4% 9% 33% 17% 18% 14% 8% 4% 3% 3% 35% 21% 32% 12% 63% 6% 7% 10% 4% 3% 7% 16% 26% 23% 7% 20% 8% 20% 21% 13% 25% 20% 39% 20% 19% 6% 5% 5% 6% 15% 8% 4% 14% 16% 3% 3% 37% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 100% 100% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else Not sure

-

-

100% -

100% -

100% -

100%

-

-

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

-

-

-

-

-

-

100% -

100%

Not sure 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 38% 60% 2% 32% 63% 5% 27% 70% 3% 27% 71% 3% 58% 37% 5% 31% 69% 16% 81% 3% 5% 14% 81% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 40% 50% 10% 37% 44% 19% 37% 42% 21% 27% 60% 13% 17% 68% 15% 37% 53% 10% 24% 43% 32% 5% 10% 84% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 78% 13% 10% 76% 14% 10% 68% 19% 13% 59% 27% 14% 50% 18% 32% 76% 5% 19% 83% 10% 7% 19% 81% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 55% 30% 14% 44% 41% 15% 53% 17% 29% 28% 61% 11% 50% 32% 18% 39% 46% 15% 36% 52% 11% 13% 10% 77% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 8% 15% 4% 9% 14% 3% 32% 1% 15% 7% 15% 4% 17% 7% 29% 7% 13% 11% 7% 12% 3% 36% 3% 26% 20% 13% 3% 17% 7% 1% 17% 5% 18% 9% 13% 20% 26% 20% 13% 20% 8% 31% 14% 12% 10% 5% 11% 12% 9% 11% 24% 3% 29% 1% 1% 1% 9% 87% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 43% 32% 15% 11% 40% 38% 12% 9% 28% 47% 7% 18% 40% 34% 12% 13% 27% 41% 32% 33% 35% 24% 8% 31% 58% 10% 5% 14% 3% 79% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 59% 57% 45% 55% 69% 53% 85% 15% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

8% 18% 15%

13% 19% 11%

23% 10% 22%

13% 19% 13%

10% 17% 4%

15% 23% 8%

4% 11% -

3% 81%

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 30% 37% 18% 14% 19% 45% 24% 11% 14% 51% 16% 19% 30% 49% 9% 12% 36% 37% 23% 4% 24% 63% 5% 8% 19% 37% 41% 3% 2% 3% 14% 82% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 19% 6% 2% 20% 12% 2% 6% 11% 21% 18% 5% 1% 35% 6% 1% 5% 10% 19% 19% 10% 32% 3% 11% 7% 19% 29% 4% 21% 7% 1% 3% 11% 25% 14% 28% 17% 25% 16% 8% 4% 35% 9% 15% 28% 36% 4% 33% 7% 19% 2% 1% 3% 94% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 5% 11% 1% 25% 9% 1% 20% 3% 25% 7% 10% 0% 43% 2% 0% 14% 5% 19% 3% 7% 28% 3% 25% 11% 22% 22% 8% 17% 8% 1% 14% 1% 29% 9% 4% 20% 18% 25% 25% 9% 35% 5% 17% 21% 13% 7% 3% 4% 42% 11% 3% 29% 1% 1% 7% 3% 88% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 51% 49% 41% 59% 39% 61% 55% 45% 69% 31% 57% 43% 55% 45% 46% 54% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 14% 25% 36% 24% 9% 28% 45% 19% 15% 46% 28% 11% 11% 26% 43% 20% 11% 11% 35% 44% 30% 21% 38% 11% 9% 36% 36% 19% 15% 34% 27% 24% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 11% 6% 30% 32% 22% 1% 6% 15% 37% 41% 7% 20% 49% 24% 6% 1% 11% 22% 60% 11% 13% 30% 46% 39% 32% 29% 11% 52% 10% 27% 4% 20% 35% 41% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Party Dem ocrat 8% 17% 69% 14% 5% 79% 17% 11% 60% 29% 5% 87% 8% 15% 73% 13% 85% 15% 4% 71% 25% 1% 77% 21% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Most Im portant Issue Base Jobs/econom y Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 19% 74% 7% 33% 56% 11% 26% 65% 9% 38% 49% 13% 18% 73% 9% 19% 77% 5% 16% 73% 10% 13% 77% 10% Governm ent spending, Social Illegal Foreign policy/national Som eone Not reducing the debt Taxes issues im m igration security else sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 71% 29% 71% 29% 74% 26% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 11% 17% 6% 6% 14% 0% 9% 13% 23% 14% 10% 7% 11% 10% 1% 9% 14% 24% 8% 8% 6% 6% 11% 1% 16% 11% 33% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 63% 27% 11% 50% 42% 8% 46% 36% 18% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 48% 43% 9% 33% 59% 8% 31% 57% 13% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 31% 45% 24% 30% 43% 26% 32% 40% 29% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 41% 52% 6% 60% 34% 6% 50% 38% 11% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 54% 33% 13% 44% 45% 11% 53% 35% 12% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 63% 31% 6% 35% 56% 9% 41% 45% 15% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 62% 22% 16% 54% 32% 15% 52% 32% 16% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 46% 54% 49% 51% 41% 59% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 69% 31% 44% 56% 44% 56% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 13% 63% 23% 18% 54% 28% 15% 40% 45% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 33% 23% 14% 14% 4% 4% 1% 6% 41% 14% 13% 12% 10% 2% 5% 3% 13% 13% 9% 16% 10% 3% 36% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 31% 42% 25% 42% 5% 17% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

4% 10% 6% 3%

5% 14% 2% 4%

1% 3% 1% -

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

2% 2%

5% 3%

1% 73%

Not sure 10%

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 100% 100% 100% A candidate's ability Their issue to beat Obam a positions Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 46% 38% 16% 29% 55% 16% 12% 13% 75% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 71% 15% 15% 76% 14% 10% 21% 6% 73% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 62% 27% 11% 37% 47% 16% 13% 13% 74% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 12% 14% 2% 7% 11% 39% 4% 11% 6% 14% 5% 19% 8% 2% 21% 6% 18% 5% 5% 1% 4% 8% 77% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 44% 35% 11% 10% 36% 39% 15% 10% 12% 11% 5% 72% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 60% 57% 20% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

9% 16% 16%

13% 19% 10%

5% 2% 72%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 24% 44% 18% 14% 23% 44% 22% 11% 10% 6% 10% 73% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 30% 5% 1% 15% 7% 7% 13% 21% 15% 5% 1% 35% 8% 1% 5% 10% 21% 6% 4% 1% 9% 80% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 11% 12% 1% 18% 5% 22% 4% 27% 6% 7% 1% 39% 5% 1% 13% 7% 21% 3% 1% 10% 1% 5% 79% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 53% 47% 44% 56% 47% 53% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 13% 19% 38% 30% 12% 32% 40% 16% 11% 34% 35% 20% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 9% 4% 13% 41% 34% 2% 6% 25% 28% 40% 6% 2% 22% 38% 31% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Party Dem ocrat 8% 8% 85% 7% 9% 71% 20% 1% 77% 22% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

More Im portant: Electability or Issues? Base Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 33% 54% 12% 24% 67% 9% 20% 76% 5% A candidate's ability Their issue Not to beat Obam a positions sure

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 67% 33% 76% 24% 68% 32%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 10% 23% 7% 6% 11% 1% 11% 13% 19% 15% 3% 8% 11% 14% 2% 10% 13% 26% 12% 13% 5% 9% 6% 8% 16% 32%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 69% 24% 7% 42% 52% 6% 54% 24% 23%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 79% 16% 5% 9% 86% 4% 34% 44% 23%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 33% 45% 21% 33% 49% 18% 24% 28% 48%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 45% 50% 5% 60% 35% 5% 51% 36% 13%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 61% 28% 11% 40% 51% 9% 46% 34% 20%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 53% 43% 4% 39% 55% 7% 43% 37% 20%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 68% 19% 13% 48% 40% 13% 55% 22% 23%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 59% 41% 40% 60% 46% 54%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 69% 31% 41% 59% 47% 53%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 17% 60% 23% 20% 54% 25% 9% 49% 43%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 34% 17% 18% 16% 2% 5% 5% 3% 39% 22% 11% 9% 12% 3% 4% 31% 7% 9% 17% 9% 5% 22%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 31% 45% 28% 38% 11% 32%

5% 10% 2% 4%

4% 16% 5% 4%

4% 6% 2% 1%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

3% 2%

4% 2%

5% 38%

Not sure 10%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 43% 52% 4% 25% 71% 3% 21% 41% 38%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? Base Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 100% 100% 100% He He does does not Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 78% 17% 6% 79% 16% 5% 33% 4% 63%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 61% 31% 8% 39% 53% 8% 20% 14% 66%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 8% 33% 3% 1% 9% 0% 30% 4% 10% 9% 3% 6% 27% 10% 2% 28% 5% 11% 5% 4% 1% 4% 4% 1% 11% 6% 65%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 49% 37% 8% 6% 38% 37% 19% 6% 14% 26% 7% 53%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 60% 62% 30%

11% 21% 9%

14% 16% 8%

5% 10% 55%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 23% 50% 18% 9% 26% 40% 25% 8% 11% 23% 11% 54%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 24% 7% 20% 10% 1% 5% 13% 19% 20% 4% 2% 36% 6% 1% 7% 9% 15% 7% 1% 1% 15% 3% 1% 6% 66%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 6% 20% 20% 6% 16% 6% 26% 9% 3% 2% 45% 4% 1% 18% 3% 14% 5% 2% 12% 3% 1% 8% 6% 64%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 50% 50% 45% 55% 47% 53%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 5% 29% 46% 20% 13% 28% 38% 22% 20% 27% 31% 21%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 6% 3% 14% 39% 39% 3% 7% 26% 30% 34% 5% 2% 20% 32% 41%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Party Dem ocrat 8% 8% 86% 6% 10% 69% 21% 3% 75% 22%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 33% 58% 9% 23% 68% 8% 21% 65% 14%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 71% 29% 74% 26% 72% 28%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 12% 12% 8% 10% 12% 1% 10% 12% 22% 15% 12% 4% 4% 13% 1% 6% 25% 21% 12% 10% 5% 7% 6% 11% 11% 38%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 54% 39% 7% 58% 40% 3% 48% 24% 28%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 38% 55% 7% 45% 54% 1% 29% 50% 20%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 36% 41% 23% 21% 64% 15% 18% 38% 45%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 65% 31% 4% 18% 81% 1% 37% 43% 20%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 50% 40% 10% 48% 40% 11% 42% 39% 19%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 46% 48% 6% 37% 57% 6% 41% 36% 23%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 56% 30% 14% 69% 24% 6% 46% 26% 28%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 46% 54% 56% 44% 45% 55%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 51% 49% 65% 35% 46% 54%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 18% 56% 26% 19% 57% 25% 8% 50% 42%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 38% 16% 14% 15% 8% 3% 3% 4% 35% 27% 16% 9% 4% 2% 5% 2% 29% 12% 8% 11% 11% 5% 25%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 28% 44% 23% 40% 13% 20%

4% 10% 2% 4%

6% 23% 4% 1%

3% 9% 5% 3%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

5% 3%

3% -

1% 45%

Not sure 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 31% 65% 4% 33% 62% 5% 23% 31% 46%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 37% 52% 11% 39% 54% 7% 10% 12% 78%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? Base Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 100% 100% 100% He He does does not Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 50% 41% 9% 35% 60% 5% 19% 5% 76%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 7% 13% 5% 19% 9% 1% 30% 3% 13% 16% 27% 3% 5% 11% 1% 24% 9% 3% 4% 4% 1% 4% 1% 7% 7% 72%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 40% 38% 15% 7% 52% 33% 13% 1% 8% 22% 4% 66%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 61% 55% 25%

11% 19% 9%

24% 19% 2%

3% 5% 67%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 23% 44% 24% 9% 29% 49% 20% 2% 13% 18% 3% 66%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 19% 4% 1% 35% 6% 1% 5% 9% 19% 32% 13% 2% 11% 15% 1% 9% 14% 4% 5% 1% 3% 3% 3% 8% 78%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 6% 8% 1% 40% 4% 1% 17% 3% 20% 19% 17% 3% 12% 7% 17% 14% 11% 4% 3% 3% 2% 5% 5% 77%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 47% 53% 43% 57% 51% 49%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 11% 29% 40% 20% 12% 22% 44% 23% 17% 28% 30% 25%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 4% 5% 23% 33% 36% 8% 5% 9% 31% 47% 5% 4% 21% 36% 34%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Party Dem ocrat 8% 8% 75% 17% 14% 80% 5% 2% 77% 22%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 28% 63% 9% 34% 57% 9% 14% 73% 13%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 69% 31% 80% 20% 62% 38%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 6% 15% 7% 8% 13% 1% 15% 13% 22% 20% 7% 7% 9% 11% 2% 4% 15% 25% 12% 14% 5% 10% 7% 9% 12% 30%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 57% 35% 9% 56% 41% 3% 43% 32% 25%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 44% 50% 7% 33% 61% 6% 32% 50% 18%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 35% 42% 24% 32% 50% 18% 21% 34% 45%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 48% 46% 6% 58% 37% 5% 55% 33% 13%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 53% 36% 11% 46% 48% 6% 42% 34% 24%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 74% 21% 6% 16% 81% 3% 34% 40% 26%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 61% 24% 15% 56% 35% 9% 45% 29% 26%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 44% 56% 53% 47% 43% 57%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 62% 38% 45% 55% 42% 58%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 18% 56% 26% 18% 57% 24% 10% 49% 41%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 29% 29% 9% 16% 3% 4% 4% 6% 48% 9% 19% 7% 12% 1% 4% 1% 26% 6% 9% 20% 11% 6% 21%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 33% 41% 20% 44% 17% 27%

5% 8% 4% 3%

2% 19% 3% 4%

6% 6% 2% 2%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

3% 3%

5% 3%

2% 38%

Not sure 10%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 44% 52% 4% 22% 74% 4% 16% 43% 41%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 47% 42% 11% 27% 64% 9% 12% 16% 72%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 80% 11% 8% 75% 22% 3% 30% 3% 67%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? Base Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 100% 100% 100% He He does does not Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 9% 13% 1% 6% 8% 2% 49% 2% 10% 11% 17% 8% 26% 9% 0% 9% 9% 11% 1% 6% 1% 7% 8% 1% 4% 3% 69%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 42% 43% 11% 5% 44% 35% 18% 3% 11% 18% 7% 64%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 63% 60% 26%

12% 18% 7%

14% 20% 5%

3% 5% 66%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 23% 51% 18% 8% 28% 40% 28% 4% 8% 17% 8% 66%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 22% 5% 1% 23% 7% 1% 10% 13% 18% 22% 7% 0% 36% 8% 1% 2% 10% 13% 3% 1% 1% 14% 3% 1% 3% 74%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 9% 9% 1% 25% 3% 1% 30% 3% 19% 10% 10% 2% 46% 6% 1% 4% 6% 15% 2% 9% 4% 3% 6% 75%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 51% 49% 43% 57% 47% 53%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 8% 23% 42% 27% 14% 31% 40% 15% 18% 32% 31% 19%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not Base does not sure Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 4% 4% 24% 39% 29% 4% 6% 16% 24% 50% 6% 4% 23% 37% 30%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Party Dem ocrat 8% 7% 79% 14% 11% 75% 14% 3% 73% 24%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He He does Not not sure Base does Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 23% 68% 9% 35% 58% 6% 15% 68% 17%

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 87% 13% 57% 43% 76% 24% 88% 12% 71% 29% 67% 33% 70% 30% 84% 16% 62% 38% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 7% 2% 9% 3% 10% 3% 26% 39% 19% 25% 2% 6% 10% 1% 11% 13% 13% 4% 4% 26% 15% 12% 13% 20% 3% 3% 14% 2% 9% 1% 8% 5% 9% 52% 9% 16% 24% 22% 8% 10% 11% 12% 33% 12% 30% 12% 6% 18% 7% 10% 11% 15% 18% 16% 40% 3% 3% 17% 6% 9% 16% 7% 13% 9% 6% 8% 13% 2% 8% 9% 33% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 90% 8% 2% 65% 28% 6% 35% 65% 27% 68% 5% 57% 27% 16% 88% 12% 50% 42% 9% 88% 3% 9% 51% 30% 20% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 33% 58% 9% 94% 6% 17% 83% 7% 90% 3% 26% 61% 13% 12% 88% 39% 55% 6% 25% 56% 19% 33% 49% 18% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 41% 42% 17% 26% 51% 23% 85% 12% 3% 24% 55% 21% 19% 45% 36% 76% 12% 12% 33% 43% 23% 18% 53% 29% 28% 36% 36% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 47% 42% 11% 35% 59% 5% 55% 39% 6% 96% 4% 55% 35% 10% 27% 73% 47% 52% 2% 26% 65% 9% 53% 32% 15% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 39% 52% 9% 57% 23% 20% 28% 61% 12% 21% 73% 7% 100% 15% 73% 12% 49% 44% 8% 57% 38% 6% 46% 33% 22% Ron Paul Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 32% 62% 6% 36% 55% 9% 32% 65% 3% 18% 79% 4% 36% 56% 8% 43% 57% 85% 13% 2% 21% 72% 7% 34% 43% 23% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 64% 25% 11% 67% 18% 15% 22% 58% 20% 35% 50% 16% 51% 30% 19% 43% 57% 66% 24% 10% 93% 7% 49% 29% 22% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 62% 38% 57% 43% 21% 79% 49% 51% 57% 43% 24% 76% 35% 65% 66% 34% 46% 54% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 66% 34% 68% 32% 28% 72% 25% 75% 51% 49% 40% 60% 62% 38% 62% 38% 45% 55% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 31% 52% 17% 9% 63% 28% 34% 33% 33% 17% 47% 36% 16% 60% 24% 60% 12% 27% 16% 58% 25% 6% 66% 28% 13% 53% 33% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 49% 9% 15% 11% 3% 6% 6% 30% 19% 15% 10% 1% 9% 10% 6% 48% 21% 21% 9% 36% 5% 7% 16% 33% 2% 2% 37% 15% 23% 18% 2% 2% 2% 100% 30% 35% 7% 16% 5% 2% 2% 3% 49% 43% 4% 5% 37% 10% 9% 10% 9% 4% 21% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 24% 37% 28% 45% 27% 41% 16% 50% 40% 31% 88% 32% 45% 3% 59% 16% 23% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

29% 3% -

4% 12% 3% 5%

8% 8% 7%

4% 14% 4% 7%

2% 10% 5%

12% -

6% 8% 3% 2%

3% 13% 13% 7%

5% 9% 2% 1%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

5% 2%

3% -

8% -

3% 1%

11% 1%

-

4%

2% -

5% 40%

Not sure 10%

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 45% 47% 8% 32% 64% 4% 16% 80% 4% 16% 80% 4% 41% 59% 100% 47% 49% 4% 26% 74% 14% 47% 39% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 33% 51% 15% 81% 11% 7% 29% 68% 3% 3% 89% 7% 35% 55% 10% 15% 73% 12% 39% 50% 11% 28% 44% 28% 14% 21% 65% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 63% 28% 9% 66% 28% 6% 88% 12% 93% 5% 2% 74% 18% 8% 76% 12% 12% 82% 13% 5% 46% 26% 28% 39% 2% 59% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 46% 52% 2% 43% 47% 10% 16% 77% 7% 20% 69% 11% 39% 40% 20% 76% 12% 12% 82% 14% 4% 19% 66% 15% 18% 18% 64% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Ron Paul Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 63% 26% 3% 7% 55% 39% 6% 50% 26% 24% 42% 32% 24% 2% 26% 49% 23% 2% 24% 60% 15% 44% 43% 11% 2% 27% 42% 30% 6% 22% 5% 67% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 60% 61% 68% 55% 66% 57% 65% 79% 23% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

19% 9% 12%

12% 26% 1%

21% 11% -

18% 23% 4%

10% 14% 10%

15% 27% -

10% 21% 5%

3% 18% -

4% 5% 68%

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 61% 21% 11% 7% 18% 56% 26% 7% 35% 58% 25% 42% 31% 2% 36% 35% 18% 11% 55% 12% 33% 20% 55% 19% 6% 40% 47% 13% 3% 20% 8% 68% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 65% 8% 13% 3% 3% 7% 23% 19% 22% 8% 2% 11% 14% 29% 7% 37% 8% 9% 7% 3% 11% 1% 1% 69% 2% 4% 3% 9% 22% 4% 13% 46% 3% 13% 48% 40% 12% 20% 3% 2% 28% 3% 12% 16% 17% 15% 12% 6% 3% 57% 6% 1% 1% 1% 9% 1% 1% 1% 3% 82% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 65% 5% 3% 12% 2% 13% 1% 53% 21% 5% 9% 11% 12% 61% 12% 11% 3% 2% 1% 90% 1% 1% 5% 4% 1% 15% 43% 11% 2% 24% 45% 27% 27% 4% 2% 1% 26% 0% 48% 2% 17% 7% 3% 24% 3% 57% 6% 1% 9% 1% 1% 1% 2% 85% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 57% 43% 46% 54% 41% 59% 38% 62% 56% 44% 73% 27% 49% 51% 32% 68% 48% 52% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 20% 21% 38% 21% 2% 31% 42% 25% 25% 35% 27% 13% 21% 36% 31% 11% 4% 24% 46% 27% 33% 30% 37% 5% 22% 44% 29% 13% 21% 56% 10% 17% 33% 33% 18% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 22% 3% 21% 21% 33% 3% 6% 14% 36% 42% 8% 13% 43% 27% 8% 2% 12% 27% 22% 37% 1% 4% 9% 40% 46% 12% 63% 24% 1% 2% 22% 40% 35% 9% 7% 27% 57% 5% 1% 22% 35% 36% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Party Dem ocrat 8% 20% 66% 14% 8% 81% 11% 17% 70% 13% 7% 67% 25% 4% 85% 11% 12% 40% 48% 8% 81% 11% 7% 84% 9% 3% 74% 23% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Most Electable Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 59% 39% 2% 34% 56% 9% 8% 83% 9% 22% 67% 10% 28% 61% 12% 12% 76% 12% 21% 72% 8% 35% 47% 18% 19% 69% 12% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 78% 22% 67% 33% 74% 26% 66% 34%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 13% 10% 8% 5% 12% 2% 8% 16% 26% 12% 15% 5% 8% 9% 1% 10% 15% 24% 11% 6% 6% 24% 13% 13% 8% 18% 12% 12% 8% 7% 12% 1% 10% 9% 29%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 62% 32% 6% 52% 41% 7% 42% 42% 16% 47% 31% 21%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 44% 51% 5% 38% 54% 8% 21% 65% 14% 34% 52% 14%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 36% 48% 15% 27% 42% 31% 29% 35% 36% 27% 41% 31%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 49% 48% 3% 50% 43% 7% 74% 21% 5% 55% 31% 14%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 48% 43% 9% 52% 35% 13% 43% 44% 13% 44% 41% 15%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 47% 50% 3% 47% 42% 11% 34% 58% 8% 40% 40% 20%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 64% 29% 7% 58% 25% 17% 45% 29% 26% 42% 36% 22%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 50% 50% 45% 55% 50% 50% 42% 58%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 64% 36% 53% 47% 26% 74% 43% 57%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 18% 56% 26% 13% 56% 30% 25% 55% 20% 13% 49% 38%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 40% 17% 12% 10% 10% 2% 4% 5% 34% 21% 17% 16% 3% 3% 4% 3% 38% 13% 13% 15% 10% 2% 2% 7% 29% 12% 7% 13% 12% 5% 22%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 30% 44% 23% 43% 29% 39% 15% 21%

3% 13% 2% 3%

6% 11% 4% 3%

2% 12% 8% 6%

5% 9% 2%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

3% 1%

6% 4%

3% 2%

49%

Not sure 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 37% 59% 4% 31% 66% 4% 26% 69% 5% 17% 33% 50%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 44% 47% 9% 34% 48% 18% 20% 67% 12% 11% 17% 73%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 76% 20% 4% 75% 13% 12% 79% 14% 7% 26% 1% 73%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 49% 45% 6% 52% 37% 11% 36% 52% 12% 12% 7% 81%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 14% 20% 5% 16% 6% 1% 31% 4% 4% 6% 15% 3% 12% 12% 2% 31% 6% 14% 2% 6% 7% 26% 15% 1% 22% 11% 9% 3% 2% 1% 3% 91%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Base attention attention attention at all Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 100% 100% 100% 100% Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 58% 70% 67% 2%

12% 29% 1%

16% 11% 3%

9% 14% 9%

98%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 30% 43% 26% 1% 22% 57% 19% 2% 28% 35% 28% 9% 1% 1% 98%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 26% 5% 0% 32% 8% 1% 5% 13% 9% 18% 7% 1% 32% 10% 1% 5% 10% 16% 21% 3% 27% 5% 1% 10% 14% 19% 1% 99%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Base attention attention attention at all Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 11% 12% 1% 39% 4% 17% 4% 12% 7% 9% 1% 30% 6% 1% 19% 7% 19% 6% 6% 1% 38% 8% 1% 17% 11% 12% 100% Not sure

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 48% 52% 46% 54% 56% 44% 43% 57%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 11% 23% 40% 26% 10% 28% 44% 18% 10% 34% 39% 17% 21% 33% 27% 20%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 7% 2% 17% 32% 42% 2% 8% 23% 34% 33% 3% 2% 28% 28% 39% 7% 4% 20% 36% 33%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Party Dem ocrat 8% 10% 77% 14% 7% 76% 17% 12% 75% 13% 4% 75% 22%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Attention Paid to Debates A lot of Som e Not m uch Not Base attention attention attention at all sure Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 35% 54% 10% 23% 68% 9% 21% 69% 10% 16% 74% 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 70% 30% 78% 22% 79% 21% 67% 33% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 13% 10% 7% 12% 9% 1% 9% 15% 23% 5% 13% 4% 3% 15% 1% 14% 13% 31% 15% 16% 5% 4% 12% 1% 9% 16% 22% 11% 12% 8% 8% 14% 1% 10% 8% 29% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 54% 38% 9% 51% 46% 3% 60% 32% 8% 49% 31% 20% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 38% 52% 10% 29% 67% 4% 45% 52% 3% 34% 53% 13% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 33% 40% 26% 25% 51% 23% 31% 50% 19% 26% 42% 32% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 53% 40% 7% 44% 51% 5% 53% 46% 2% 58% 30% 12% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 51% 36% 13% 36% 51% 12% 50% 44% 6% 46% 40% 14% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 46% 47% 7% 45% 49% 6% 41% 52% 7% 41% 42% 17% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 58% 28% 15% 59% 28% 14% 63% 26% 11% 44% 34% 22% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 46% 54% 41% 59% 59% 41% 43% 57% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 54% 46% 48% 52% 57% 43% 44% 56% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 17% 55% 28% 17% 51% 32% 13% 66% 21% 17% 47% 35% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 38% 17% 16% 17% 3% 2% 2% 4% 33% 19% 15% 3% 22% 5% 3% 37% 22% 6% 10% 10% 4% 6% 5% 28% 12% 9% 12% 11% 5% 1% 22% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 27% 42% 19% 47% 28% 46% 19% 22% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

4% 12% 4% 3%

9% 14% 3% 4%

3% 14% 3% 5%

5% 8% 1% 1%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

6% 3%

1% 3%

3% -

44%

Not sure 10%

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 34% 62% 4% 23% 71% 6% 29% 70% 1% 24% 31% 44% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 35% 52% 13% 32% 58% 10% 41% 43% 15% 14% 20% 66% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 77% 14% 9% 66% 29% 4% 78% 16% 6% 33% 1% 66% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 49% 41% 10% 45% 48% 7% 47% 47% 6% 16% 10% 74% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 9% 15% 5% 14% 10% 1% 30% 7% 10% 14% 14% 7% 23% 8% 1% 23% 1% 8% 4% 21% 3% 19% 7% 2% 32% 5% 7% 5% 1% 3% 4% 6% 81% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 38% 45% 16% 0% 39% 50% 11% 65% 24% 11% 2% 5% 6% 87% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 100% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore candidates in person one candidate than one candidate Not sure

-

100% -

100% -

100%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 23% 49% 26% 1% 25% 49% 26% 38% 47% 14% 1% 3% 1% 1% 95% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure Base Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 21% 6% 1% 30% 7% 1% 7% 11% 15% 31% 7% 32% 12% 7% 6% 6% 18% 3% 2% 36% 10% 2% 2% 20% 8% 3% 1% 1% 1% 95%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 8% 10% 0% 34% 6% 1% 20% 7% 14% 16% 7% 3% 39% 3% 18% 6% 9% 6% 12% 2% 42% 4% 1% 11% 5% 18% 2% 1% 1% 1% 96% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 52% 48% 43% 57% 37% 63% 44% 56% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 11% 26% 39% 25% 12% 42% 36% 10% 10% 20% 54% 15% 18% 33% 28% 22% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 4% 5% 24% 34% 34% 6% 9% 18% 26% 42% 4% 3% 11% 34% 48% 6% 3% 23% 35% 32% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Party Dem ocrat 8% 9% 75% 16% 10% 73% 18% 5% 86% 8% 6% 72% 22% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Seen Any Candidates in Person? Base Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 24% 65% 11% 34% 60% 5% 36% 56% 7% 19% 71% 10% Have not seen any of the Have seen only Have seen m ore Not candidates in person one candidate than one candidate sure

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not at all sure Base im portant im portant Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 78% 22% 71% 29% 71% 29% 67% 33%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not at all sure Base im portant im portant 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 15% 7% 8% 12% 12% 1% 9% 17% 20% 11% 15% 6% 7% 9% 1% 10% 16% 26% 13% 10% 6% 9% 11% 2% 10% 10% 27% 11% 13% 8% 7% 15% 1% 10% 9% 27%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not at all sure Base im portant im portant Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 60% 31% 9% 59% 34% 7% 41% 52% 7% 47% 32% 21%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 36% 58% 6% 41% 51% 8% 35% 57% 8% 34% 53% 13%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 32% 47% 21% 29% 43% 29% 38% 43% 19% 26% 40% 33%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 52% 40% 8% 53% 41% 6% 51% 47% 2% 58% 30% 12%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 56% 40% 5% 50% 37% 13% 39% 46% 15% 46% 40% 15%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 40% 55% 5% 49% 42% 9% 40% 56% 4% 42% 40% 18%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 65% 24% 11% 60% 26% 14% 50% 33% 16% 44% 34% 22%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 54% 46% 49% 51% 40% 60% 43% 57%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not at all sure Base im portant im portant Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 53% 47% 57% 43% 48% 52% 44% 56%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not at all sure Base im portant im portant 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 18% 53% 29% 14% 58% 28% 17% 57% 26% 18% 48% 34%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not at all sure Base im portant im portant 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 49% 13% 10% 10% 6% 3% 4% 6% 36% 22% 13% 13% 5% 2% 3% 5% 27% 14% 19% 18% 13% 2% 5% 1% 29% 15% 9% 11% 11% 5% 20%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not at all sure Base im portant im portant Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 34% 35% 23% 45% 23% 49% 19% 23%

3% 16% 5% 3%

5% 15% 3% 5%

4% 5% 3% 1%

4% 7% 1% 1%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

3% 1%

3% 1%

8% 7%

1% 45%

Not sure 10%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 34% 61% 5% 34% 64% 2% 27% 67% 6% 21% 34% 45%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 34% 54% 12% 41% 46% 14% 29% 58% 13% 14% 20% 66%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 71% 18% 11% 75% 17% 9% 83% 14% 3% 34% 1% 65%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 44% 48% 8% 54% 37% 9% 39% 52% 9% 18% 8% 74%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not at all sure Base im portant im portant Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 22% 10% 1% 16% 14% 2% 23% 9% 3% 4% 18% 3% 14% 7% 0% 34% 6% 12% 4% 17% 11% 21% 8% 2% 24% 3% 10% 3% 2% 5% 8% 82%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 49% 35% 16% 1% 39% 50% 11% 47% 34% 18% 1% 3% 4% 6% 87%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 57% 67% 72% 4%

12% 28% 2%

13% 19% 1%

15% 12% 1%

1% 95%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Base im portant im portant at all Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 100% 100% 100% 100% Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 31% 5% 1% 26% 14% 2% 6% 10% 5% 20% 7% 1% 31% 6% 0% 6% 16% 12% 18% 3% 2% 40% 7% 2% 6% 6% 18% 1% 1% 98%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not at all sure Base im portant im portant Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 19% 9% 1% 29% 9% 1% 16% 5% 11% 7% 11% 0% 33% 4% 1% 20% 9% 16% 2% 9% 2% 50% 5% 17% 3% 11% 1% 1% 98%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 52% 48% 47% 53% 45% 55% 45% 55%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 19% 23% 37% 22% 6% 26% 47% 22% 11% 34% 35% 20% 18% 33% 29% 20%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not Base im portant im portant at all sure Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 10% 5% 17% 28% 40% 0% 5% 21% 36% 38% 5% 5% 23% 30% 37% 6% 3% 23% 36% 31%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not at all sure Base im portant im portant Party Dem ocrat 8% 10% 77% 13% 7% 79% 15% 10% 72% 18% 6% 73% 21%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very Som ew hat Not im portant Not at all sure Base im portant im portant Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 38% 56% 7% 25% 64% 11% 23% 66% 11% 18% 74% 8%

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 67% 33% 76% 24% 34% 66% 79% 21% 72% 28% 60% 40% 76% 24% 79% 21% 64% 36% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 18% 6% 7% 4% 16% 1% 12% 18% 19% 20% 18% 3% 6% 3% 10% 3% 37% 15% 15% 27% 15% 27% 14% 9% 10% 8% 7% 2% 8% 15% 28% 4% 18% 2% 17% 18% 18% 11% 12% 40% 28% 18% 14% 3% 13% 6% 11% 10% 17% 3% 36% 11% 19% 4% 12% 10% 3% 30% 10% 10% 13% 5% 10% 13% 1% 9% 8% 31% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 79% 17% 4% 52% 43% 5% 42% 45% 12% 38% 58% 5% 47% 46% 7% 40% 60% 43% 48% 10% 76% 16% 7% 48% 30% 22% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 41% 55% 4% 70% 27% 3% 100% 31% 62% 7% 45% 53% 2% 40% 60% 26% 69% 5% 42% 48% 10% 35% 49% 16% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 35% 47% 18% 33% 62% 5% 42% 58% 32% 42% 26% 32% 42% 26% 86% 14% 33% 39% 28% 30% 53% 17% 25% 39% 37% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 43% 53% 5% 38% 56% 5% 61% 39% 75% 22% 2% 45% 47% 8% 72% 28% 36% 56% 8% 25% 70% 5% 56% 31% 13% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 56% 35% 9% 57% 41% 3% 30% 27% 42% 37% 54% 9% 86% 9% 5% 40% 60% 35% 48% 17% 50% 46% 5% 45% 34% 20% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 50% 45% 5% 36% 62% 3% 70% 30% 37% 55% 8% 40% 51% 9% 57% 43% 75% 22% 3% 51% 45% 5% 40% 43% 17% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 66% 19% 15% 47% 45% 8% 42% 42% 15% 51% 37% 12% 55% 40% 4% 57% 43% 51% 35% 14% 90% 6% 3% 45% 28% 27% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 58% 42% 54% 46% 30% 70% 40% 60% 45% 55% 54% 46% 39% 61% 43% 57% 49% 51% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 68% 32% 59% 41% 42% 58% 42% 58% 53% 47% 14% 86% 64% 36% 71% 29% 41% 59% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 20% 58% 23% 24% 42% 34% 70% 30% 16% 57% 27% 15% 58% 27% 86% 14% 22% 38% 40% 9% 60% 31% 14% 55% 31% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 40% 20% 17% 13% 3% 3% 3% 3% 22% 24% 14% 15% 8% 17% 43% 22% 35% 39% 10% 14% 13% 18% 1% 4% 2% 32% 15% 14% 23% 8% 7% 73% 6% 6% 8% 6% 50% 14% 18% 7% 2% 2% 8% 31% 17% 9% 13% 6% 4% 3% 15% Ron Rick Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 26% 39% 31% 47% 61% 27% 19% 53% 46% 32% 46% 40% 32% 40% 28% 41% 19% 26% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

4% 18% 2% 1%

9% 10% -

12%

5% 9% 3% 4%

2% 12% 4%

14% -

9% 8% 10% -

3% 13% 8% 5%

3% 10% 2% 3%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

7% 1%

3% -

-

5% 1%

4% -

-

-

3%

3% 35%

Not sure 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 49% 47% 4% 31% 59% 10% 42% 42% 15% 18% 78% 4% 32% 68% 100% 43% 57% 41% 59% 23% 44% 33% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 41% 49% 9% 52% 42% 6% 88% 12% 25% 62% 13% 47% 43% 10% 40% 60% 36% 60% 5% 44% 41% 15% 22% 24% 54% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 71% 24% 5% 58% 39% 3% 73% 27% 93% 5% 2% 61% 31% 8% 86% 14% 66% 24% 10% 65% 20% 15% 46% 2% 52% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 51% 45% 4% 43% 54% 3% 55% 15% 30% 37% 52% 12% 44% 46% 11% 72% 28% 85% 13% 2% 54% 40% 6% 27% 17% 56% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 28% 16% 6% 8% 10% 27% 4% 2% 13% 55% 3% 7% 16% 6% 27% 15% 42% 15% 4% 11% 5% 36% 4% 2% 27% 2% 8% 16% 4% 5% 58% 11% 4% 2% 40% 46% 14% 5% 5% 10% 5% 2% 63% 3% 7% 3% 14% 3% 4% 40% 28% 7% 2% 7% 0% 4% 4% 15% 1% 67% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 51% 35% 14% 43% 55% 3% 12% 45% 42% 44% 43% 13% 41% 50% 9% 54% 28% 18% 37% 38% 25% 47% 35% 18% 12% 20% 9% 60% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 62% 73% 73% 64% 56% 68% 78% 59% 29% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

18% 16% 3%

18% 10% -

27% -

14% 22% 0%

19% 24% -

32% -

15% 5% 2%

6% 33% 2%

2% 5% 64%

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 37% 44% 19% 26% 63% 12% 27% 42% 30% 22% 47% 30% 1% 44% 37% 19% 46% 14% 40% 26% 48% 25% 23% 64% 12% 2% 4% 17% 12% 67% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Ron Paul Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 34% 10% 2% 25% 5% 13% 3% 9% 7% 58% 11% 3% 12% 3% 6% 30% 39% 30% 1% 2% 1% 74% 2% 14% 1% 5% 11% 2% 20% 42% 10% 2% 13% 54% 46% 3% 8% 12% 67% 3% 7% 2% 13% 2% 15% 28% 29% 12% 2% 4% 0% 5% 4% 84% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 58% 42% 25% 75% 42% 58% 36% 64% 48% 52% 54% 46% 46% 54% 47% 53% 54% 46% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 17% 20% 42% 21% 7% 22% 42% 29% 76% 24% 15% 33% 37% 15% 5% 30% 46% 19% 40% 18% 43% 6% 20% 42% 31% 3% 20% 50% 26% 13% 34% 31% 22% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 13% 4% 17% 28% 37% 7% 10% 16% 36% 31% 27% 45% 27% 1% 6% 25% 30% 38% 2% 7% 4% 49% 39% 14% 72% 14% 45% 31% 24% 5% 15% 40% 40% 4% 4% 20% 34% 38% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Party Dem ocrat 8% 12% 74% 13% 20% 74% 6% 70% 30% 6% 73% 21% 2% 90% 8% 54% 28% 18% 8% 78% 13% 6% 85% 9% 5% 75% 19% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 43% 48% 8% 36% 59% 5% 30% 55% 15% 26% 65% 9% 28% 63% 9% 14% 46% 40% 13% 74% 13% 29% 64% 7% 15% 74% 11% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 83% 17% 71% 29% 34% 66% 73% 27% 80% 20% 100% 78% 22% 67% 33% 63% 37% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 12% 6% 2% 14% 6% 29% 32% 17% 11% 5% 3% 18% 1% 12% 15% 17% 34% 36% 17% 13% 16% 5% 11% 6% 8% 3% 10% 11% 31% 7% 27% 7% 24% 7% 9% 9% 9% 24% 24% 29% 24% 2% 25% 5% 15% 9% 11% 19% 13% 23% 12% 3% 19% 6% 8% 22% 7% 12% 14% 5% 7% 13% 0% 9% 8% 31% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 98% 2% 63% 25% 11% 100% 41% 55% 4% 56% 24% 20% 24% 76% 45% 47% 9% 85% 9% 6% 52% 29% 19% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 25% 72% 4% 95% 5% 100% 26% 68% 6% 31% 56% 14% 100% 34% 58% 8% 31% 47% 22% 41% 46% 13% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 36% 48% 16% 32% 50% 19% 64% 36% 35% 42% 23% 35% 39% 26% 100% 30% 47% 22% 21% 49% 30% 25% 40% 35% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 35% 55% 10% 27% 68% 5% 47% 53% 81% 17% 2% 44% 40% 16% 53% 47% 32% 65% 3% 33% 58% 9% 53% 35% 12% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 52% 44% 4% 71% 23% 7% 17% 47% 36% 39% 53% 8% 86% 11% 3% 24% 76% 44% 44% 11% 49% 39% 11% 47% 32% 21% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 40% 54% 6% 46% 47% 7% 30% 70% 32% 64% 4% 34% 56% 9% 29% 71% 89% 9% 2% 21% 71% 9% 40% 41% 19% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 74% 18% 8% 71% 19% 10% 64% 36% 49% 37% 13% 39% 44% 17% 53% 47% 57% 30% 13% 93% 7% 51% 26% 23% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 72% 28% 57% 43% 100% 39% 61% 55% 45% 47% 53% 39% 61% 69% 31% 47% 53% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 69% 31% 71% 29% 100% 39% 61% 68% 32% 47% 53% 65% 35% 61% 39% 46% 54% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 21% 61% 18% 9% 53% 38% 30% 70% 22% 50% 28% 16% 57% 28% 76% 24% 10% 68% 23% 15% 58% 26% 14% 54% 32% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Base Bachm ann Gingrich 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 49% 17% 7% 13% 3% 3% 5% 3% 21% 17% 32% 6% 14% 3% 8% 35% 11% 13% 11% 20% 6% 3% 40% 13% 17% 25% 5% 100% 30% 40% 3% 22% 1% 1% 1% 2% 53% 5% 25% 5% 11% 35% 11% 14% 13% 7% 3% 17% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 17% 38% 34% 46% 30% 17% 21% 57% 50% 14% 53% 24% 34% 36% 12% 39% 21% 26% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

36% 4% -

2% 11% 1% 4%

36% -

4% 7% 2% 4%

3% 20% 3%

24% -

7% 11% 4% 4%

9% 2% 15% 13%

3% 12% 3% 1%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

4% 2%

1% -

17% -

5% 1%

9% -

-

5%

2% 6%

4% 31%

Not sure 10%

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 46% 49% 5% 45% 53% 2% 36% 64% 18% 78% 4% 33% 64% 3% 100% 45% 51% 4% 21% 79% 27% 41% 32% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 28% 57% 15% 77% 16% 6% 100% 22% 68% 10% 41% 45% 14% 76% 24% 34% 55% 12% 40% 30% 30% 28% 21% 50% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 55% 35% 10% 65% 28% 7% 50% 50% 92% 6% 2% 69% 22% 9% 100% 78% 15% 7% 42% 37% 20% 46% 5% 49% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 51% 49% 48% 47% 5% 30% 70% 36% 58% 7% 30% 49% 20% 53% 47% 84% 11% 5% 28% 46% 26% 27% 18% 55% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 70% 2% 4% 4% 15% 4% 2% 5% 85% 2% 1% 5% 2% 30% 53% 17% 3% 9% 8% 41% 4% 1% 22% 4% 7% 11% 83% 3% 3% 53% 47% 1% 4% 3% 1% 6% 2% 81% 1% 2% 23% 2% 3% 9% 54% 9% 4% 5% 0% 2% 7% 15% 1% 66% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 54% 35% 10% 54% 37% 9% 30% 53% 17% 48% 36% 16% 29% 48% 23% 71% 29% 41% 45% 14% 27% 45% 28% 15% 23% 5% 57% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 58% 66% 30% 62% 79% 71% 74% 71% 25% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

24% 13% 5%

9% 23% 1%

36% 34% -

14% 23% 1%

7% 14% -

29% -

13% 12% 1%

12% 17% -

3% 10% 62%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 57% 38% 5% 25% 53% 23% 34% 17% 50% 22% 44% 33% 1% 44% 33% 23% 53% 47% 24% 53% 22% 1% 20% 67% 13% 8% 21% 7% 64% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 86% 5% 4% 2% 3% 22% 32% 8% 9% 5% 15% 8% 50% 17% 17% 17% 15% 2% 1% 65% 5% 2% 2% 5% 4% 19% 3% 13% 64% 76% 24% 16% 4% 3% 23% 4% 22% 18% 10% 9% 3% 6% 3% 3% 55% 20% 5% 1% 1% 4% 3% 1% 4% 80% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Ron Paul Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 51% 49% 36% 64% 53% 47% 36% 64% 67% 33% 24% 76% 47% 53% 58% 42% 56% 44% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 17% 23% 40% 20% 4% 8% 53% 35% 36% 50% 13% 15% 37% 36% 12% 15% 15% 54% 16% 29% 71% 4% 18% 42% 37% 13% 39% 41% 7% 13% 32% 34% 21% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 20% 16% 22% 43% 9% 12% 46% 32% 36% 47% 17% 3% 7% 27% 27% 35% 3% 3% 7% 41% 47% 24% 53% 24% 24% 42% 34% 11% 9% 28% 52% 5% 3% 20% 35% 37% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Party Dem ocrat 8% 17% 66% 18% 11% 84% 5% 66% 17% 17% 7% 70% 22% 97% 3% 24% 47% 29% 3% 88% 9% 9% 79% 12% 7% 74% 19% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Who Will Win IA? Michele New t Jon Base Bachm ann Gingrich Huntsm an Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 56% 38% 6% 37% 51% 11% 100% 24% 68% 8% 31% 56% 14% 24% 53% 24% 20% 71% 9% 31% 62% 8% 20% 68% 12% Ron Rick Buddy Mitt Rick Som eone Paul Perry Roem er Rom ney Santorum else/Not sure

Gender Base Wom an Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 68% 32% 75% 25% Man

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 10% 11% 5% 10% 16% 1% 9% 13% 24% 14% 12% 8% 7% 7% 1% 10% 14% 26% Man

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Gender Base Wom an Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 58% 30% 12% 49% 42% 8% Man

Gender Base Wom an Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 38% 52% 10% 36% 56% 8% Man

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 26% 41% 33% 35% 46% 20% Man

Gender Base Wom an Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 49% 43% 8% 57% 38% 6% Man

Gender Base Wom an Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 50% 34% 16% 46% 45% 8% Man

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 46% 43% 11% 43% 50% 7% Man

Gender Base Wom an Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 57% 24% 19% 55% 33% 12% Man

Gender Base Wom an Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 52% 48% 43% 57% Man

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 54% 46% 50% 50% Man

Gender Base Wom an 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 15% 53% 32% 18% 56% 26% Man

Gender Base Wom an 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 40% 18% 11% 13% 4% 3% 4% 7% 32% 17% 15% 13% 11% 2% 3% 7% Man

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 27% 34% 23% 44% Man

4% 13% 4% 4%

5% 10% 2% 3%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

4% 10%

3% 11%

Not sure 10%

Gender Base Wom an More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 34% 55% 12% 27% 62% 12% Man

Gender Base Wom an Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 34% 43% 23% 30% 47% 23% Man

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 67% 12% 20% 68% 15% 17% Man

Gender Base Wom an Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 45% 34% 21% 39% 40% 22% Man

Gender Base Wom an Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 9% 12% 3% 11% 10% 1% 26% 3% 23% 6% 13% 4% 16% 7% 1% 24% 6% 22% Man

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 36% 34% 15% 15% 36% 36% 10% 18% Man

Gender Base Wom an Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 60% 49% Man

10% 13% 18%

12% 19% 20%

Gender Base Wom an Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 24% 39% 18% 18% 20% 40% 20% 20% Man

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 22% 2% 1% 20% 7% 1% 5% 10% 32% 15% 6% 1% 31% 7% 1% 5% 10% 25% Man

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Gender Base Wom an Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 8% 6% 1% 22% 6% 0% 15% 6% 35% 7% 10% 1% 36% 3% 1% 15% 4% 25% Man

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Gender Base Wom an Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 100% 100% Man

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 12% 27% 37% 24% 12% 29% 41% 19% Man

Gender Base Wom an Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 5% 4% 19% 30% 43% 4% 5% 23% 36% 32% Man

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Gender Base Wom an Party Dem ocrat 8% 8% 79% 13% 7% 73% 19% Man

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected]icypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender Base Wom an Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 26% 65% 10% 27% 64% 10% Man

Age Base Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 80% 20% 71% 29% 68% 32% 75% 25% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 24% 3% 16% 8% 11% 5% 3% 32% 8% 12% 8% 9% 9% 1% 7% 15% 29% 13% 13% 4% 8% 13% 1% 13% 14% 21% 10% 15% 4% 10% 10% 2% 10% 17% 22% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 47% 47% 5% 47% 42% 11% 59% 33% 8% 54% 30% 16% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 24% 68% 8% 36% 53% 11% 41% 52% 8% 39% 52% 9% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 37% 42% 21% 27% 39% 34% 31% 47% 22% 32% 42% 26% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 76% 21% 3% 64% 31% 6% 46% 47% 6% 39% 49% 11% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 34% 55% 11% 41% 44% 15% 53% 38% 9% 56% 31% 13% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 39% 47% 13% 28% 64% 8% 48% 45% 7% 60% 29% 12% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 42% 47% 11% 52% 27% 21% 62% 26% 12% 58% 26% 16% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 50% 50% 44% 56% 48% 52% 48% 52% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 45% 55% 39% 61% 56% 44% 65% 35% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 26% 45% 29% 19% 54% 27% 16% 56% 28% 10% 59% 31% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7%

Age Base Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 29% 29% 22% 39% 23% 45% 29% 35% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

53% 24% 6% 6% 12%

37% 17% 7% 13% 15% 2% 4% 4%

36% 12% 23% 13% 3% 4% 2% 5%

26% 23% 9% 16% 8% 3% 5% 11%

5% 11% 3% 8%

7% 11% 1% 2%

3% 13% 3% 3%

2% 11% 6% 2%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

3% 13%

5% 13%

3% 7%

3% 12%

Not sure 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 32% 58% 11% 20% 66% 14% 30% 60% 11% 43% 46% 11% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 13% 47% 39% 33% 45% 22% 38% 44% 19% 30% 46% 24% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 61% 13% 26% 71% 11% 19% 70% 15% 14% 63% 15% 22% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 26% 42% 32% 34% 41% 25% 45% 38% 17% 54% 26% 19% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 13% 3% 8% 24% 3% 3% 11% 5% 32% 6% 14% 5% 18% 7% 20% 4% 27% 8% 14% 3% 11% 10% 1% 28% 7% 19% 8% 15% 2% 7% 11% 2% 34% 2% 19% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Age Base Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 32% 29% 11% 29% 29% 35% 15% 20% 37% 39% 13% 12% 45% 29% 10% 16% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 47% 49% 54% 63% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

11% 13% 29%

16% 12% 22%

10% 22% 14%

5% 12% 20%

Age Base Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 34% 18% 18% 29% 18% 36% 24% 22% 21% 48% 17% 14% 22% 40% 19% 19% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 26% 3% 32% 3% 3% 3% 32% 13% 4% 31% 7% 1% 4% 7% 34% 20% 5% 2% 25% 8% 0% 5% 13% 22% 18% 6% 1% 19% 6% 2% 7% 12% 29% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 11% 3% 3% 37% 5% 5% 5% 32% 6% 2% 39% 2% 9% 7% 34% 8% 11% 1% 27% 6% 0% 16% 5% 26% 7% 13% 1% 17% 3% 2% 26% 2% 29% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Age Base Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 47% 53% 46% 54% 45% 55% 53% 47% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 100% 100% 100% 100% 18 to 29 30 to 45 46 to Older 65 than 65

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age Base Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 24% 11% 24% 13% 29% 2% 5% 24% 34% 35% 2% 3% 20% 37% 39% 2% 3% 18% 37% 40% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Age Base Party Dem ocrat 8% 21% 58% 21% 7% 73% 20% 5% 81% 14% 7% 81% 12% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Age Base Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 32% 63% 5% 24% 68% 8% 28% 62% 9% 22% 63% 15% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 64% 36% 73% 27% 75% 25% 70% 30% 72% 28%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 25% 3% 3% 14% 10% 44% 13% 7% 14% 3% 3% 10% 12% 39% 4% 11% 12% 14% 4% 2% 13% 8% 31% 10% 14% 8% 7% 13% 0% 13% 17% 18% 17% 12% 2% 9% 14% 0% 5% 17% 24%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 60% 33% 7% 41% 56% 3% 28% 59% 12% 52% 38% 11% 70% 21% 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 39% 54% 7% 23% 64% 13% 26% 58% 15% 44% 51% 5% 39% 53% 8%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 62% 31% 7% 43% 39% 19% 40% 33% 27% 33% 43% 24% 19% 51% 30%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 59% 34% 7% 62% 29% 10% 67% 25% 8% 46% 48% 6% 50% 43% 6%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 45% 34% 21% 27% 62% 12% 28% 56% 16% 52% 40% 8% 59% 29% 12%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 35% 51% 14% 58% 37% 6% 51% 37% 12% 55% 39% 6% 30% 60% 9%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 35% 51% 14% 32% 45% 23% 34% 41% 25% 57% 30% 14% 73% 16% 11%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 69% 31% 38% 62% 24% 76% 38% 62% 67% 33%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 52% 48% 42% 58% 29% 71% 59% 41% 60% 40%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 65% 25% 10% 22% 36% 42% 33% 35% 31% 14% 57% 29% 3% 70% 28%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 42% 29% 29% 19% 19% 36% 9% 9% 7% 28% 21% 17% 14% 12% 8% 26% 22% 9% 21% 9% 5% 1% 7% 46% 12% 16% 6% 6% 2% 5% 6%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 59% 7% 32% 49% 35% 28% 24% 44% 14% 44%

7% 17% -

3% 7% -

4% 6% 2% 6%

6% 8% 3% 3%

3% 19% 4% 2%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

9%

9% -

9% 10%

1% 11%

3% 12%

Not sure 10%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 60% 23% 17% 24% 71% 6% 18% 69% 13% 37% 49% 13% 27% 63% 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 42% 34% 24% 19% 68% 12% 21% 56% 23% 37% 41% 22% 33% 41% 26%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 56% 24% 20% 69% 15% 15% 76% 6% 19% 67% 13% 21% 65% 17% 18%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 39% 34% 27% 36% 46% 18% 48% 29% 24% 50% 26% 24% 33% 50% 17%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 39% 7% 7% 7% 3% 3% 7% 27% 5% 16% 10% 37% 6% 9% 10% 7% 8% 8% 8% 17% 4% 3% 26% 2% 24% 5% 14% 3% 9% 10% 30% 4% 24% 7% 15% 1% 14% 10% 1% 24% 7% 22%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 53% 13% 7% 27% 19% 61% 6% 14% 29% 38% 17% 16% 35% 36% 11% 18% 40% 31% 13% 15%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 44% 56% 61% 55% 50%

14% 14% 27%

20% 10% 14%

10% 8% 21%

9% 17% 20%

12% 21% 17%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 48% 3% 22% 27% 22% 42% 22% 14% 18% 40% 21% 21% 19% 43% 17% 21% 24% 41% 20% 16%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 53% 7% 7% 3% 3% 27% 16% 10% 32% 10% 10% 23% 15% 3% 1% 32% 1% 3% 10% 7% 27% 16% 5% 1% 23% 10% 5% 12% 29% 19% 4% 1% 27% 7% 0% 3% 10% 29%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 32% 7% 22% 3% 3% 34% 16% 9% 42% 3% 12% 17% 6% 5% 1% 39% 1% 1% 17% 2% 28% 5% 11% 24% 5% 19% 4% 31% 8% 7% 28% 6% 0% 14% 7% 30%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 52% 48% 39% 61% 43% 57% 42% 58% 55% 45%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 64% 15% 13% 8% 27% 28% 29% 15% 14% 32% 37% 18% 5% 29% 43% 23% 9% 27% 41% 23%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Party Dem ocrat 8% 59% 35% 5% 25% 58% 16% 12% 53% 35% 2% 85% 12% 2% 88% 10%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 38% 54% 7% 3% 89% 8% 4% 90% 6% 23% 64% 13% 43% 48% 10%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 74% 26% 71% 29% 74% 26%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 22% 2% 14% 10% 13% 13% 3% 24% 13% 14% 6% 9% 11% 1% 9% 14% 22% 2% 6% 8% 7% 10% 1% 12% 15% 39%

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 49% 46% 6% 59% 30% 10% 27% 62% 11%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 31% 63% 6% 41% 50% 9% 21% 69% 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 56% 26% 17% 28% 45% 27% 32% 44% 24%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 70% 28% 2% 49% 43% 7% 63% 30% 7%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 41% 48% 11% 52% 36% 12% 33% 54% 13%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 53% 45% 2% 45% 46% 9% 37% 51% 13%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 42% 43% 15% 60% 24% 15% 42% 42% 16%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 43% 57% 51% 49% 31% 69%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 43% 57% 57% 43% 31% 69%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 75% 18% 7% 8% 63% 29% 28% 34% 38%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 30% 39% 23% 8% 37% 17% 13% 14% 6% 3% 3% 7% 25% 11% 13% 10% 25% 3% 4% 9%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 54% 23% 22% 40% 21% 40%

6% 7% 6% -

3% 13% 3% 4%

8% 6% 2% 3%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

2% 2%

3% 11%

6% 14%

Not sure 10%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 32% 66% 2% 33% 55% 12% 13% 71% 16%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 34% 58% 8% 36% 41% 23% 11% 57% 32%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 72% 25% 4% 67% 14% 19% 70% 4% 25%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 39% 53% 8% 43% 36% 21% 36% 32% 32%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 20% 13% 8% 13% 4% 2% 26% 4% 10% 7% 14% 3% 12% 9% 1% 26% 5% 22% 7% 9% 3% 21% 5% 3% 17% 3% 32%

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 44% 29% 18% 8% 36% 35% 12% 17% 30% 36% 10% 23%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 60% 53% 54%

13% 11% 16% Party

10% 18% 18%

12% 8% 26%

Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 27% 34% 24% 16% 22% 41% 19% 18% 18% 36% 22% 24%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 29% 12% 20% 2% 6% 5% 8% 19% 18% 4% 1% 25% 8% 0% 5% 11% 28% 15% 2% 2% 34% 3% 1% 4% 5% 34%

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 16% 11% 7% 27% 2% 6% 6% 25% 6% 9% 0% 27% 6% 0% 17% 5% 29% 8% 3% 1% 41% 1% 1% 8% 4% 35%

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 50% 50% 49% 51% 37% 63%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 32% 25% 24% 18% 9% 27% 42% 22% 16% 35% 34% 16%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 34% 15% 31% 10% 10% 2% 4% 15% 37% 43% 1% 5% 45% 25% 23%

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Party Dem ocrat 8% 100% 100% 100%

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 27% 64% 9% 26% 64% 10% 25% 66% 9%

Tea Party ID Base Com m itted to Candidate or Might Change Your Mind? Strongly com m itted 72% to that candidate Might end up 28% supporting som eone else 74% 26% 72% 28% 58% 42% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base 2012 GOP Pres Prim ary 2nd Choice Michele Bachm ann 12% New t Gingrich 12% Jon Huntsm an Ron Paul 7% 9% 17% 9% 4% 7% 14% 7% 20% 23% 10% 13% 8% 9% 11% 2% 11% 12% 24% 14% 13% 3% 15% 8% 7% 5% 34% Yes Not No sure

Rick Perry 11% Buddy Roem er 1%

Mitt Rom ney 10% Rick Santorum 14% Som eone else/Not 25% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Tea Party ID Base Bachm ann Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 37% Not sure 10% 79% 16% 5% 43% 48% 10% 54% 18% 28% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base Gingrich Favorability Favorable 37% Unfavorable 54% Not sure 9% 47% 48% 5% 33% 59% 8% 40% 38% 22% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base Huntsm an Favorability Favorable 31% Unfavorable 43% Not sure 26% 25% 56% 19% 35% 40% 26% 22% 30% 48% Yes Not No sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Tea Party ID Base Paul Favorability Favorable 53% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 7% 50% 45% 5% 55% 38% 6% 49% 37% 14% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base Perry Favorability Favorable 48% Unfavorable 40% Not sure 12% 62% 30% 8% 43% 47% 11% 47% 23% 30% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base Rom ney Favorability Favorable 44% Unfavorable 47% Not sure 9% 36% 59% 5% 49% 42% 9% 35% 46% 19% Yes Not No sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Tea Party ID Base Santorum Favorability Favorable 56% Unfavorable 29% Not sure 15% 72% 20% 8% 50% 34% 16% 53% 15% 32% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base Evangelical? Are 47% Are not 53% 66% 34% 37% 63% 60% 40% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base Regularly Watch Fox? Do 52% Do not 48% 75% 25% 42% 58% 52% 48% Yes Not No sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Tea Party ID Base 2008 Caucus Choice Dem ocratic caucus 16% Republican caucus 55% Didn't vote in a 29% caucus 11% 70% 20% 20% 48% 31% 8% 58% 34% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base 2008 GOP Caucus Vote Mike Huckabee 36% Mitt Rom ney 17% Fred Thom pson 13% John McCain 13% Ron Paul Rudy Giuliani Som eone else Don't rem em ber 8% 3% 3% 7% 47% 15% 15% 4% 10% 2% 1% 6% 30% 18% 12% 20% 6% 3% 4% 7% 30% 18% 15% 7% 8% 3% 5% 15% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base Most Im portant Issue Jobs/econom y 25% Governm ent 39% spending, reducing the debt Taxes 4% 18% 49% 29% 34% 17% 45% Yes Not No sure

4% 17% 2% 2%

4% 9% 3% 4%

4% 15% 3% 2%

Social issues 12% Illegal im m igration Foreign policy/national security Som eone else 3% 3%

4%

2% 5%

4% 13%

4% 11%

Not sure 10%

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Tea Party ID Base More Im portant: Electability or Issues? A candidate's ability 30% to beat Obam a Their issue 58% positions Not sure 12% 38% 53% 9% 25% 61% 14% 38% 57% 5% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base Does Gingrich Have Strong Principles? He does 32% He does not 45% Not sure 23% 41% 40% 19% 29% 48% 23% 28% 38% 33% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base Does Paul Have Strong Principles? He does 68% He does not 14% Not sure 19% 72% 18% 10% 67% 12% 21% 62% 12% 25% Yes Not No sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Tea Party ID Base Does Rom ney Have Strong Principles? He does 42% He does not 37% Not sure 21% 38% 50% 12% 44% 33% 23% 39% 24% 37% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base Most Electable Michele Bachm ann 8% 18% 17% 1% 12% 9% 0% 20% 6% 17% 5% 11% 5% 14% 8% 1% 28% 3% 25% 1% 12% 3% 15% 10% 1% 20% 9% 29% Yes Not No sure

New t Gingrich 13% Jon Huntsm an 4%

Ron Paul 14% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 8% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 25% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 23% sure

Tea Party ID Base Attention Paid to Debates A lot of attention 36% Som e attention 35% Not m uch attention 13% at all Not sure 17% 49% 31% 10% 11% 30% 37% 13% 20% 38% 32% 13% 17% Yes Not No sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Tea Party ID Base Seen Any Candidates in Person? Have not seen any of 54% the candidates in person Have seen only one 11% candidate Have seen m ore 16% than one candidate Not sure 19% 49% 55% 62% Yes Not No sure

14% 22% 14%

10% 14% 21%

6% 12% 20%

Tea Party ID Base Im portance of a Candidate Spending Tim e in IA Very im portant 22% Som ew hat 40% im portant Not im portant at all 19% Not sure 19% 32% 38% 17% 13% 19% 39% 20% 22% 15% 46% 22% 17% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base Who's Run Strongest IA Cam paign? Michele Bachm ann 18% New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 5% 1% 31% 6% 1% 25% 7% 0% 2% 11% 16% 14% 4% 1% 26% 7% 1% 6% 10% 32% 15% 2% 2% 24% 6% 3% 7% 7% 33% Yes Not No sure

Ron Paul 26% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er Mitt Rom ney 7% 1% 5%

Rick Santorum 10% Som eone else/Not 28% sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Tea Party ID Base Who Will Win IA? Michele Bachm ann New t Gingrich Jon Huntsm an 7% 8% 1% 16% 12% 27% 5% 0% 11% 6% 22% 4% 6% 1% 31% 4% 0% 16% 5% 31% 4% 9% 24% 6% 1% 14% 4% 37% Yes Not No sure

Ron Paul 29% Rick Perry Buddy Roem er 4% 1%

Mitt Rom ney 15% Rick Santorum 5%

Som eone else/Not 30% sure

Tea Party ID Base Gender Wom an 47% Man 53% 46% 54% 48% 52% 47% 53% Yes Not No sure

Tea Party ID Base Age 18 to 29 12% 30 to 45 28% 46 to 65 39% Older than 65 21% 15% 25% 42% 18% 12% 30% 38% 21% 7% 24% 38% 32% Yes Not No sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Tea Party ID Base Ideology Very liberal Som ew hat liberal 4% 5% 7% 1% 3% 29% 61% 4% 6% 29% 33% 27% 3% 4% 14% 43% 36% Yes Not No sure

Moderate 21% Som ew hat 33% conservative Very conservative 37%

Tea Party ID Base Party Dem ocrat 8% 8% 76% 16% 8% 76% 17% 7% 78% 15% Yes Not No sure

Republican 76% Independent/Other 16%

Tea Party ID Base Tea Party ID Yes 26% No 64% Not sure 10% 100% 100% 100% Yes No Not sure

December 26-27, 2011

survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988

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